Thursday, December 29, 2011

Mock Draft (4th Edition)

1. Indianapolis Colts: Andrew Luck QB Stanford
At this point I really don't know what to say about this pick. We all know that no matter who gets the first pick, they are going to take Luck. Indianapolis has long been the favorite, but their current two game winning streak and possible 3rd win could ruin their chances.



2. St. Louis Rams: Matt Kalil OT USC
The protection Sam Bradford got this year was one of the biggest reasons the Rams struggled. Rodger Saffold doesn't look like the long term LT. Luckily Kalil is an elite LT prospect and the best to come along since Jake Long.

3. Minnesota Vikings: Morris Claiborne CB LSU
Justin Blackmon seems like a very logical pick here, but don't be surprised if they go another direction. WRs are easier to find in later rounds but elite shut down corners aren't easy to find in later rounds. Even before Chris Cook had his domestic abuse charges, the Vikings have struggled in the secondary. Claiborne would drastically help this defense.

4. Jacksonville Jaguars: Justin Blackmon WR Oklahoma State
I will be completely shocked if the Jaguars pass on Blackmon here. Blaine Gabbert looked horrible in his rookie season, but he also was thrust into the lineup when he wasn't ready and had no receivers to throw to. Blackmon is an #1 caliber receiver and a big time play maker.

5. Cleveland Browns: Robert Griffin QB Baylor
This pick is really a tough one. They could go with Trent Richardson, but there are a lot of good running backs that will be available in the 2nd round and QB Colt McCoy hasn't really won over the organization. Robert Griffin has really developed his skills to make him a very desirable prospect. He can come in and challenge McCoy for playing time and help jump start this offense.

6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Dre Kirkpatrick CB Alabama
I don't know if I like Kirkpatrick this high. But if any team is going to take him here the Bucs are the best fit. Kirkpatrick should thrive in the Bucs Tampa 2 defense. Kirkpatrick is a big physical cornerback that loves to jam receivers at the line and will thrive in a zone system instead of one that requires him to play a lot of man to man.


7. Washington Redskins: Landry Jones QB Oklahoma
Jones may or may not enter the draft. If I had to put money on it I'd say he returns. His stock isn't that high and he could use another year at Oklahoma to rejuvinate his stock and challenge Matt Barkley for the #1 overall pick. But if he comes out he could still win over teams with personal workouts and the combine. He has every skill you need to be a franchise QB. Here Washington would take them because they have to upgrade at a position where they have started Rex Grossman and John Beck.

8. Miami Dolphins: Riley Reiff OT Iowa
Despite the play of Matt Moore, the Dolphins need to have a QB of the future. However with their recent success and Matt Barkley returning, they are unlikely to get one of the top guys. They'll have to address another spot. OT could be it. Jake Long tore his bicep and might not be ready to start training camp next year. But even if he is there they need somebody at RT where Marc Columbo has been awful. Reiff has really enjoyed a good season and has taken over the #2 OT spot ahead of Jonathan Martin.

9. Carolina Panthers: Quinton Coples DE North Carolina
Defensive end really isn't a huge need because Charles Johnson and Greg Hardy have played well. However Coples is the Best Player Available and adding him with those two is only going to make this pass rush better. Coples can challenge Hardy at one spot and Coples would likely take over. But Coples does have experience rushing at the DT spot and in passing situations he could slide in to get all three in at the same time.

10. Kansas City Chiefs: Jonathan Martin OT Stanford
Injuries really derailed the Chiefs season this year and prevented them from getting back to the playoffs. However they are in a position to get a player that can really help out. Brandon Albert continues to start at LT, but he clearly is better suited to be a RT or G. Getting Jonathan Martin would allow Albert to switch spots and help out a very thin line. Martin also fits very well because the Chiefs are a running team and Martin has been one of the big reason that Stanford has been so successful running.

11. Buffalo Bills: Courtney Upshaw LB Alabama
Buffalo was poised for a very good season, but injuries really took their toll and losses started to add up. One of the biggest reasons that Buffalo struggled was due to a lack of a pass rush. They really don't have anybody to is considered a good pass rusher. Adding Upshaw would be a great way to remedy that. Upshaw has been a force for Alabama and his experience in the 3-4 will allow him to see the field immediately.

12. Arizona Cardinals: David DeCastro G Stanford
They would love to get a hold of either Riley Reiff or Jonathan Martin, but with both gone they'll have to look in another direction. But they don't have to go away from the offensive line. 12 might be a little high for a guard, but DeCastro has really shot up the draft boards and interior lineman have really been valued a lot higher lately. DeCastro is an elite run blocking prospect and should fit in nicely with HC Ken Wisenhunt's plan of transitioning the Cardinals to a power running team.

13. Philadelphia Eagles: Luke Keachly LB Boston College
One of the biggest reason the Eagles defense struggled this year was the play of their linebackers. Jamar Chaney played well last year at MLB, but they want him to be their WLB. But Casey Matthews really struggled inside and Chaney had to be moved back. Adding the tackling machine Lucke Keachly would really help out and allow Chaney to move to WLB. Keachly is a good fit because he runs well and can blitz which the Eagles like to do. Then the Eagles can allow their defensive line to focus more on penetrating and not stopping the run.

14. Seattle Seahawks: Trent Richardson RB Alabama
At first glance this pick may seem odd. But Marshawn Lynch is a free agent and despite his playoff performance against the Saints he hasn't really set the world on fire. Add in that Pete Carroll loves to run the ball and this should be a good fit. Richardson is a back that can do it all who would excel in the Seahawks zone blocking scheme.


15. San Diego Chargers: Alphonzo Dennard CB Nebraska
Offensive tackle and pass rusher are the two big needs for the Chargers, but with the top prospects off the board, the Chargers will have to look in another direction. Cornerback could be the spot they go. They've been looking for somebody opposite of Quinton Jammer for a while. Dennard showed this year that he is a shut down corner that can play in any scheme. He is very physical, who loves to jam receivers at the line but has the quickness and fluid hips to cover man to man.

16. Chicago Bears: Michael Floyd WR Notre Dame
With all the injuries the Bears had this year it really exposed how bad their receivers are. Jay Cutler really could use a big bodied receiver who can go up and get the ball and make plays. And with Mike Martz more than likely on his way out, the Bears would be more willing to get a big receiver. Floyd would give Cutler a true #1 receiver and allow Earl Bennett and Johnny Knox to fit into complementary roles.

17. Tennessee Titans: Peter Konz C Wisconsin
With all the money the Titans invested in Chris Johnson, they have to do everything they can to make him successful. A big part (other than his holdout) of the struggles was because the interior of the offensive line played so bad. So getting some help is very important. Peter Konz has been a huge reason that Wisconsin is one of the best running teams in college football and the Titans are hoping he can do the same for them.

18. Dallas Cowboys: Devon Still DT Penn State
Last year the Cowboys actually addressed a need in the first round and took OT Tyron Smith. Smith has played well and really helped the offensive out. With that success the Cowboys will look to continue the trend but focus on the defensive line. The DE spot in their 3-4 has been a weak spot for them. Devon Still has been a force for Penn State and should transition well to the 3-4. He has impressive size and strength. But what makes Still a good fit is that he plays with great leverage and play two gaps and still make an impact.

19. New York Jets: Melvin Ingram DE South Carolina
The Jets pass rush this year has not been very good and they've even had to sign Aaron Maybin to try and get some production. So the Jets will be looking to get some much needed help. Melvin Ingram has always been a good defensive end, but a monster start to the season really opened everybody's eyes to the type of player he is. Ingram plays fast and uses his athleticism to make QBs lives a lot harder. He should be able to move to the OLB spot in the 3-4 and play from a stand up position.

20. Cincinnati Bengals (From Oakland): Janoris Jenkins CB North Alabama
By letting Jonathan Joseph walk in free agency it really exposed the lack of depth they had at CB and then Leon Hall got hurt too. So it looks like the Bengals will be addressing the positon and will look to get another good corner to pair up with Hall when he gets healthy. If Jenkins would have stayed away from the "wacky tabacky" he would probably still be at Florida and could be the 2nd CB taken this year. But instead he got kicked off the team and had to go to North Alabama. That would normally scare some teams away, but we all know that the Bengals look past this stuff.

21. Denver Broncos: Kendall Wright WR Baylor
It actually looks like the Broncos are going to go into next season with Tim Tebow as their starter and they'll look to build the team to suit his skills. Kendall Wright could be one of those players. The Broncos receivers are all big physical guys, but Tim Tebow could really use a guy like Wright who is an explosive athlete who can give him a deep threat, catch a short pass and take it to the house, or even take a fly sweep hand off.

22. Cleveland Browns (From Atlanta): Alshon Jeffery WR South Carolina
Alshon Jeffery was once considered to be the top WR in this draft and now is in the teens. But if he can show that he has elite speed and can seperate from defenders he could rise right back up the board. But the Browns would love to get his skills. I have them taking RG3 with their first pick and here Jeffery would give Griffin a big receiver that he can trust to go up and get balls, especially the deep ball.

23. Cincinnati Bengals: Chris Polk RB Washington
I've always been a big fan of Chris Polk and with his performance in the Alamo Bowl he is going to turn a lot of heads. Polk is a physical runner who still has the speed to break off the long run. The Bengals love to run the ball and will be looking to find a replacement for Cedric Bensen who has lost a step or two. And the Bengals love that power running game which Polk is so good at.

24. Detroit Lions: Mike Adams OT Ohio State
How long can the Lions ignore the offensive line? Even though they are in the playoffs they won't last long because they can't run the ball. They could use an upgrade at both tackle positions and at guard. They could still go BPA and that could still be Mike Adams. Adams really showed how good his is when he was out and the Buckeyes struggled. Adams can come in and at worst take over at RT and move Gosder Cherilus inside to guard. But if he shows good quick feet he could take over at LT and give Matt Stafford a true blindside protector.

25. New York Giants: Vontaze Burfict LB Arizona State
Burfict was once considered to be a top 10 caliber player, but some anger issues and poor play have really shot his stock on a free fall. But he just has too much talent and potential. Burfict really fits in well with the Giants Cover 2 scheme because he has such great athleticism and can play in coverage. But Burfict's best strength is stuffing the run. Add in that the Giants have a strong willed HC and a veteran presence that can help him reach is potential.

26. Houston Texans: Brandon Thompson DT Clemson
Houston's defense has really improve this year with the switch to the 3-4 and the addition of Wade Phillips. However they still need to add more pieces to the team to make the defense a lot better and deeper. Thompson has been a big reason that the Tigers are in the Orange Bowl and has been a force on the interior. He'd be a good fit in Wade Phillips 3-4 at the NT spot because Phillips likes smaller quick guys at NT much like he had with Jay Ratliff in Dallas. Thompson would be an upgrade over Shuan Cody and Earl Mitchell.

27. Pittsburgh Steelers: Keleche Osemele OT Iowa State
The Steelers have continued to have success on offensive despite having some major holes along their offensive line. They took Maurkice Pouncey two years ago and he has been a force ever since. However they need to continue to add pieces. A good player for them to go after would be Keleche Osemele. Osemele plays LT for Iowa State but would be an excellent G or RT for the Steelers. His versatility could allow him to see the field immediately and help out a unit that needs it.

28. San Francisco 49ers: Barrett Jones OT Alabama
Jim Harbaugh has done wonders for the 49ers, but a lot of their success is due to an very good defense. The 49ers have run the ball good, but have struggled at RG and RT and that has limited their offense. Barrett Jones has been the best offensive lineman for Alabama and allowed Trent Richardson to dominate running the ball. Jones is a physical blocker who should be able to come in at RG or even RT and help Harbaugh get the physical run game that he had while at Stanford.

29. Baltimore Ravens: Dont'a Hightower LB Alabama
Rey Lewis isn't going to be around forever. Heck they still need help next to him. They need somebody that is a versatile linebacker who can stop the run and patrol the middle of the field. That is really the type of player Hightower is. He is very good against the run and two years removed from his knee surgery has regained his explosiveness. Add in his ability to blitz and he should fit in well with this Ravens D.

30. New England Patriots (From New Orleans): Mark Barron S Alabama
When you cut your two starting safeties right before the season, you know that you are going to struggle. They even had to start a street free agent. Mark Barron could go a lot higher, but the Patriots would love to see him here. Barron is a great leader and a playmaker in the secondary. He could play either S spot, but is better suited for the SS spot. But luckily the Pats need both.

31. New England Patriots: Fletcher Cox DT Mississippi State
New England played more 4-3 at the beginning of the season, but they slowly moved back to the 3-4 as the season progressed. A big reason they switched to the 3-4 was they didn't have the pieces at DE. So look for them to add young lineman that fit their scheme. Fletcher Cox has the size you want out of a 5 tech and has the strength to play in a 2 gap system.


32. Green Bay Packers: Nick Perry DE USC
Clay Matthews is a stud. Opposite of him is Eric Walden. Not even close to the impact. Plus Walden has a domestic battery charge hanging over his head. He'll more than likely have to miss some time next year. But even with him they need more help. Nick Perry has really impressed this season and a lot of that is because he's been healthy. Perry has great quickness and speed and that should allow him to play a rush linebacker in a 3-4. But if he blows up at the combine (much like a lot of USC players) he could go a lot higher.

Tuesday, December 27, 2011

NFL Power Rankings (Week 16)

1. Green Bay Packers (14-1)
Aaron Rodgers continues his great season by carving up the injury depleted Bears and getting the Packers home field advantage going into the playoffs.

2. New England Patriots (12-3)
It looked like we were about to see a big upset against the Dolphins, but the Pats were able to rally to get the win. Now all the Pats need to do is beat Bills and they'll have home field advantage throughout the playoffs.

3. New Orleans Saints (12-3)
Drew Brees is not the official record holder for most passing yards in a season, besting Dan Marino's long stading record. But the best thing for the Saints is that their defense is starting to play better and that will help them more in the playoffs.

4. San Francisco 49ers (12-3)
San Fran could really use the bye week to help get their team healthy and rested before making the playoffs for the first time since 2002.

5. Pittsburgh Steelers (11-4)
Playing St. Louis and Cleveland to end the season couldn't have been a better recipe for the Steelers who have an injuried Big Ben Rothlisburger. Charlie Batch was able to lead the Steelers to a victory last week and look for much the same this weekend. Because if Big Ben isn't healthy come playoff time, it could be an early exit.

6. Baltimore Ravens (11-4)
A win over Cincinnati would give the Ravens a first round bye because they hold the tie breaker with the Steelers because they've beat them twice this year. However these aren't your old Bungels and this game will be a dog fight.

7. Detroit Lions (10-5)
What a success this season has been for the Lions. One of the worst franchises in the NFL for the longest time has made it to the playoffs for the first time since 1999. What a story this team has been.

8. Cincinnati Bengals (9-6)
If you would have said that the Bengals would have a chance to win 10 games this year and go to the playoffs many people would have written you off. But with a win over Pittsburgh this Sunday, the Bengals could be back into the playoffs behind the play of their two rookies Andy Dalton and AJ Green.

9. Atlanta Falcons (9-6)*
Even with their loss to the Saints this past Monday, the Falcons are still looking to get into the playoffs again. However they really can't afford to play like they did Monday if they want to make some noise in the playoffs.

10. Houston Texans (10-5)*
You have to take the Texan's recent losses as a little bit of a grain of salt. Not only are they still playing with TJ Yates at their QB, but the reason their defense has really improved, Wade Phillips, hasn't been around because of surgery.

11. New York Giants (8-7)
The Giants sure made Rex Ryan shut up with their big win over the Jets. The win also gives the Giants the chance to win the division and make it to the playoffs.

12. Dallas Cowboys (8-7)*
The Cowboys looked like the favorite to win the division, but another tough loss within the division hurts their chances.

13. Denver Broncos (8-7)*
Is the Tebow magic wearing off? Or are they just playing better teams? I'd go with the latter but they still have a chance to win the division but will have to do it against Kyle Orton who you know will play his best game of the year.

14. Philadelphia Eagles (6-8)
It's a little too late, but the Eagles are actually playing like the team we thought they'd be at the beginning of the season.

15. Seattle Seahawks (7-8)*
A win over the 49ers would have given the Seahawks an outside shot at making it into the playoffs. However their QB play just holds them back enough. If they can get a solid QB in the off season they should be able to challenge SF for the division.

16. Oakland Raiders (8-7)
Behind the strong leg of Sabastian Janakowski they Raiders were able to steal a win away from the Chiefs. But they'll need a win over the Chargers and a loss by the Broncos to get into the playoffs.

17. Tennessee Titans (8-7)
Tennessee has really salvaged the season and have a bright future ahead of them. It's just too bad that CJ2K held out and injuries took away Matt Hasselbeck and Kenny Britt because they could have won the division this year.

18. San Diego Chargers (7-8)*
Just when you thought that the Chargers were back on a roll and looking close to winning the division, they lay an egg against Detroit and are on the outside looking in.

19. New York Jets (8-7)*
I was never a big fan of the Jets going into this season, and their play has really backed up my suspicious. They are a running team but don't really run the ball that well. And their defense isn't the same as previous years. No playoffs for this team this year.

20. Arizona Cardinals (7-8)*
It may be a little too late, but the Cardinals have been playing a lot better and almost put themselves into the playoff picture. However they came back down to earth with a tough loss to the Bengals. But a win over Seattle would prevent them from finishing below .500 for a second straight season.

21. Kansas City Chiefs (6-9)*
Despite all the injuries and poor coaching, if the Cheifs would have beat the Raiders, their game against Denver would have decided who goes to the playoffs. Anyways, the match up between Kyle Orton and Tim Tebow should be interesting.

22. Carolina Panthers (6-9)
If the Panthers take anything away from this season, it's that they found their franchise QB in Cam Newton. Now they need to build around him (mainly defense) and aim towards next year.

23. Miami Dolphins (5-10)*
It looked liked the Dolphins were going to be able to pull the big upset over the Patriots, but just couldn't hang on. However the Dolphins have to be happy with the play of Reggie Bush and go into the off season with a lot more confidence and know that a few more pieces and they could make a run at the playoffs.

24. Chicago Bears (7-8)*
You have to wonder if Josh McNown and Kahlil Bell would have been given the opportunity sooner, would the Bears be in the playoffs with Cutler and Forte on their way back? Who knows, but it's something to think about.

25. Buffalo Bills (6-9)
I might just have been Tim Tebow struggling, but the Bills looked like the team we saw at the beginning of the season when they started so strong. But things don't get easier with New England being their last opponent.

26. Jacksonville Jaguars (4-11)*
Don't worry Jaguar fans, things could get worse. Their last game of the season isn't the cupcake they thought it would be. The Colts are on a two game winning streak and playing much better than the Jags. A loss to them would really make this season awful.

27. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-11)*
Even with the job that he did last year, it is going to be very hard for Raheem Mooris to keep his job after this season.

28. Washington Redskins (4-11)*
Washington just isn't a good offensive team and that is largely because they are starting Rex Grossman/John Beck. But the worst thing is that with Matt Barkley deciding to stay, they might be left out in the cold in the draft and have to settle with another team's backup.

29. Cleveland Browns (4-11)*
Well the season is almost over but it won't be till after their game against the Steelers. So look for a blow out and a tough off season for the Browns.

30. Minnesota Vikings (3-12)
Well it just got worse for the Vikings. Losing Adrian Peterson to a torn ACL this late into the season will have an impact on next year. You have to wonder why he was playing anyways.

31. Indianapolis Colts (2-13)
What has gotten into the Colts? Their recent two game winning streak is little to late and now they are in jeopardy of losing out on getting Andrew Luck. Especially playing the Jaguars this Sunday who aren't playing two well either.

32. St. Louis Rams (2-13)*
Their horrible season and the Colts two game winning streak moves the Rams into the last spot. What makes it worse is that the Steelers were without Big Ben and the Rams still got dominated.

* Denotes Loss

Monday, December 26, 2011

Matt Kalil Scouting Report


Matt Kalil

Position: Offensive Tackle
Height: 6'7
Weight: 295
College: University of Southern California

Strengths
-Ideal Size (6'7)
-Long arms you need to play Left Tackle in the NFL.
-Quick, agile feet that allow him mirror pass rushers
-Experience in a Zone Blocking Scheme (ZBS)
-Able to get to the 2nd level in run blocking
-Delivers a good, hard punch in pass protection
-Elite pass protector. Once he gets his hands on a defender they are shut down.
-Good athlete. Who can bend his needs and move laterally very well.
-Very consistent. Rarely commits penalties or allows sacks.
-Excellent Technic
-A wealth of experience. 2 year starter at LT.
-Plays with a mean streak.
-Great strength. Uses upper body strength to reroute pass rushers.
-NFL Pedigree. Brother is a Pro Bowl C with Carolina and Dad also played.

Weaknesses
-Run blocking. Isn't going to over power guys. Is more of a finesse blocker. Normally seals guys off using his size.
-Can he play in a Power Man Blocking Scheme?
-Weight. Can he add weight and maintain his athleticism?

Summary
Matt Kalil has everything an NFL team would want out of a LT prospect. He has the ideal size and long arms needed to succeed at the NFL level. Kalil is also a very good athlete which will help him against the speed rushers in the NFL. He can use his quick agile feet to cut off rushers and then use his superior upper body strength and long arms to stop them dead in their tracks. There hasn't been an offensive lineman the caliber of Matt Kalil to come out since Jake Long in 2008. Tyron Smith was the first OT taken in last year's draft and he had to play RT in college because Matt Kalil was on the same team. The only thing that worries me about Kalil is that he is a little on the light side and isn't a stout run blocker. He isn't going to overpower many defenders when run blocking. However the NFL is a passing league now and LT's aren't necessary asked to lead the way for RBs. Their main focus is protecting the QBs blindside and Kalil will be very good at that.

Projection
In any other year Kalil could easily be the #1 overall pick. However with Andrew Luck available Kalil will more than likely be the #2 pick, but shouldn't last past #3. He projects to be a make multiple Pro Bowls.

Monday, December 19, 2011

NFL Power Rankings (Week 15)

1. Green Bay Packers (13-1) *
2. New England Patriots (11-3)
3. New Orleans Saints (11-3)
4. San Francisco 49ers (11-3)
5. Pittsburgh Steelers (10-4)*
6. Baltimore Ravens (10-4)*

7. Atlanta Falcons (9-5)
8. Detroit Lions (9-5)

9. Houston Texans (10-4)*
10. Cincinnati Bengals (8-6)
11. Denver Broncos (8-6)*
12. Dallas Cowboys (8-6)

13. Seattle Seahawks (7-7)
14. San Diego Chargers (7-7)
15. New York Jets (8-6)*
16. Arizona Cardinals (7-7)
17. New York Giants (7-7)*
18. Oakland Raiders (7-7)*

19. Philadelphia Eagles (5-8)
20. Kansas City Chiefs (6-8)
21. Tennessee Titans (7-7)*
22. Miami Dolphins (5-9)
23. Carolina Panthers (5-9)
24. Chicago Bears (7-7)*
25. Jacksonville Jaguars (4-10)*

26. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-10)*
27. Buffalo Bills (5-9)*
28. Washington Redskins (4-10)*
29. Cleveland Browns (4-10)*
30. Minnesota Vikings (2-12) *
31. St. Louis Rams (2-12)*
32. Indianapolis Colts (1-13)


* Denotes Loss

Thursday, December 15, 2011

Mock Draft (3rd Edition)

1. Indianapolis Colts: Andrew Luck QB Stanford

It's a forgone conclusion that Luck will be the pick here. The real question is what they do with Peyton Manning. They should think about keeping him and allowing Luck to learn behind him. Even though Luck is ready, he could be even better with some time behind Manning.

2. Minnesota Vikings: Matt Kalil OT USC
The Vikings are looking to be in a good spot. Either Kalil or Blackmon would be great additions. However Kalil is their main target. Charlie Johnson is their current LT, but he isn't starting material. Kalil would be an ideal blindside protector for QB Christian Ponder.

3. St. Louis Rams: Justin Blackmon WR Oklahoma State
Even with the addition of Brandon Lloyd, the Rams still need help at WR. Blackmon is an elite WR and is on the same level as AJ Green was last year. He'll give Sam Bradford a true #1 receiver he has lacked. Don't be surprised if St. Louis passed on Blackmon for Claiborne. They could really need some defensive help.

4. Washington Redskins: Matt Barkley QB USC
The Redskins would love to get Andrew Luck, but Matt Barkley is not a bad consolation prize the latest. Barkley isn't too far behind Luck and fits the type of QB Shannahan likes.

5. Jacksonville Jaguars: Morris Claiborne CB LSU
Justin Blackmon would be the like hitting the lottery, however getting Claiborne would really help out a poor secondary. Claibrone is another in the long line of elite cornerbacks that have come out lately and he could step in and complete with Mathies and Cox for playing time.

6. Carolina Panthers: Quinton Coples DE North Carolina
Carolina's offense seems to be on track, but they could really use some help on the defensive side. They'd love to get Morris Claibrone but he's gone and Dre Kirkpatrick isn't worthy of a top 6 selection. That leaves them with Coples who is BPA. Coples can compete with Greg Hardy for a starting spot.

7. Miami Dolphins: Robert Griffin QB Baylor
Miami has shown this year that they can win games when they have consistent QB play. However you cannot trust Matt Moore to be your future. Luckily they have a shot at Heisman winning Robert Griffin. Griffin has proven this year that he has the skills to be a NFL QB, but he is still a little raw. He would really benefit from a year or maybe two on the bench. This could allow Matt Moore and Chad Henne to compete for the starting gig while Griffin develops.

8. Cleveland Browns: Trent Richardson RB Alabama
The Browns have been a complete mess this year. Offensively they looked like they were poised for a break out year. However Colt McCoy struggled in his second season and Peyton Hillis had a myriad of issues. Hillis is a free agent and because of the drama that has circled around him he might not be back next year. Even if he is, with his running style they could use a quality backup. Trent Richardson is a dynamic do it all back that we haven't seen since Adrian Peterson. Richardson will be able to make an impact right away as the sole guy or in a RB tandem. This may be high for him, but not too many people would bat an eye at it.

9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Dre Kirkpatrick CB Alabama
I'm not a huge fan of Kirkpatrick going in the top 10, but he fits so well with Tampa that it shouldn't matter too much. Kirkpatrick has everything you would want for in a Cover 2 CB. He has great size and strength and loves to play physical. That should help because Cover 2 CBs are asked to jam at the line, help out in run coverage and play in short zones. Kirkpatrick has the talent to thrive in this defense.

10. Philadelphia Eagles: Luke Keachley LB Boston College
Anybody that has watched the Eagles play this year knows that they have huge issues at linebacker. Jamar Chaney played well in the middle last year, but they would rather have him at the WLB spot. However they don't have anybody of quality inside. Luke Keachley would make an instant impact. Keachley is a tackling machine who has great instincts and the athleticism to play side line to side line.

11. Buffalo Bills: Courtney Upshaw LB Alabama
Buffalo when healthy played pretty well this year. However a big area of need is their pass rush. And they really don't have any quality pass rushers on their roster at the OLB spot. What makes matters worse is that this draft class isn't deep at the rush linebacker spot. That could cause the Bills to reach here (but not by much) on Upshaw who the best player at the position. And let's not forget. The Bills love to reach when they like a guy.

12. Kansas City Chiefs: Riley Reiff OT Iowa
Kansas City fans might be mad at me for not putting a QB here, but when Cassell has had time and not had his weapons injuried, he has played well. But with Jones' stock sliding, I see him returning to Oklahoma and coming out next draft where he won't have to deal with Luck and Barkley. Here I see the Chiefs looking to improve at another area of need. Offensive line. Brandon Albert is better suited to play G or RT. Taking Reiff here would allow them to move Albert and improve the overall line.

13. Arizona Cardinals: Jonathan Martin OT Stanford
Martin is a good fit for the Cardinals for two reason. First they need a new tackles badly. Both are ineffective and need to be replaced. 2nd, HC Ken Wisenhunt wants to establish a power running attack. Martin is an excellent run blocker and would open up holes for Chris Wells and Ryan Williams.

14. Seattle Seahawks: Whitney Mercilus DE Illinois
QB is the huge position of need for the Seahawks, but as long as they keep winning they'll either have to take a 2nd tier guy in the 2nd or 3rd round, or go after backups like Matt Flynn or Brian Hoyer. At #14 I don't see a lot for the Seahawks to go after. Dennard could be an option but they've had guys step up and look to be solid there. Devon Still could be an option, but they just gave a bunch of money to Mebane. They need some help at DE to provide a pass rush and Mercilus can do that.

15. San Diego Chargers: Michael Floyd WR Notre Dame
San Diego would love to get a OLB to rush the QB, but with Mercilus and Upshaw gone they'll have to wait. Instead the Chargers can look to improve their receiving core that could lose Vincent Jackson, but isn't the deepest anyways. Floyd has shot up the boards and even surpassed Jeffery.

16. Dallas Cowboys: Devon Still DT Penn State
Last year instead of going with the flashy big name player, the Cowboys actually filled a need in the first round and took OT Tyron Smith. That payed off and Smith looks to be a fixture. Now they could do the same thing, but this time along the defensive line. Not only is Still the top DT in the draft, but he is also the top 3-4 DE too. Dallas could really use some help at DE and Still has the size for the position and does a great job of playing 2 gaps and still being able to make plays.
17. Tennessee Titans: David DeCastro G Stanford
I've mocked Alshon Jeffery to the Titans for a long time. And I wouldn't be surprised if they still went that route, but with emergence of Damion Williams, it isn't as big of a need. They can now focus on improving the interior of their offensive line to help out RB Chris Johnson. David DeCasro is the top G in the draft and very worthy of this selection. He is an excellent run blocker and should start day 1.

18. Cincinnati Bengals: Alphonzo Dennard CB Nebraska
The Bengals have enjoyed a good season and adding two first round picks could make 2012 even better. After just missing out on David DeCastro they look to improve the defense. Losing Leon Hall to injury and Jonathan Joseph to FA left them thin here. But luckily Alphonzo Dennard is available. With this continued strong play, Dennard has risen his stock and is a top 20 prospect. He can play in any scheme and is as good in man as he is in zone.

19. Chicago Bears: Alshon Jeffery WR South Carolina
It looks like Mike Martz will no longer be in Chicago next year. That means a lot to the Bears, but the biggest change will be at WR. The Bears have been in need of a big physical WR who could go up and get jump balls. But in Martz's scheme, those receivers didn't fit. With him out they can go take Jeffery here and give Jay Cutler a reliable player he can throw the ball up to and know that they can get. Similar to what he had with Brandon Marshall.

20. Cincinnati Bengals (From Oakland): Lamar Miller RB Miami
After addressing the CB spot, the Bengals can look towards running back here. Cedric Bensen doesn't look to be back and even if he does, they have to upgrade. Lamar Miller is the 2nd best RB in this draft and the only other back worth a 1st round pick. He'll add some explosion to the position they didn't have with Bensen.

21. Cleveland Browns (From Atlanta): Zach Brown LB North Carolina
Because of the Julio Jones trade, the Browns get a 2nd 1st round pick and look to fix their terrible 2011 season. On defense the Browns are still transitioning from the 3-4 and need parts at OLB. Zach Brown is a great athlete at uses his speed and quickness well at the WLB spot.

22. New York Jets: Cordy Glenn OT Georgia
For a team that wants to pound the rock, they've had some issues blocking. Injuries have been part of the problem, but the other is holes at G and RT. Cordy Glenn plays LT for Georgia, but he is better suited to be a G. He is a good pass blocker and an improved run blocker. He could come in at RG and start, or they could have him at RT where he could have success too.

23. Detroit Lions: Mike Adams OT Ohio State
Detroit for a while has ignored their offensive line and took BPA. However that could come to an end here. Not only is Adams considered to be on of the best players available, he also fits a huge need. Best case scenario is that Adams shows the quickness and footwork to be a LT. If that doesn't work he could take over at RT and move Cherilus inside to guard.

24. Houston Texans: Peter Konz C Wisconsin
Houston has one of the best centers in the league this year. Chris Meyers is playing at an elite level. However he is a FA at the end of the season. And with all the money they spent last year and the money they'll need to resign other top players, they could lose him. Even if they resign Meyers, they could really use some help at G and Konz could easily slide over and still play at a high level.

25. New York Giants: Vontaze Burfict LB Arizona State
MLB has been a soar spot ever since Antonio Pierce left. They've tried with late round picks and free agents, but they'll need to invest in a top tier draft pick. Burfict was once considered a top 10 pick but he hasn't shown that same potential this year. However he'd still be a bargain for the Giants here and be a good fit in their Cover 2 scheme.

26. Denver Broncos: Brandon Thompson DT Clemson
Tim Tebow gets a majority of the praise for the Broncos winning streak, but the defense deserves just as much attention. However they could still use some more pieces to help them continue their conversion to the 4-3. One of the areas of need is at DT. Thompson has enjoyed a good season at Clemson and his play has elevated his stock.

27. Baltimore Ravens: Dont'a Hightower LB Alabama
Rey Lewis isn't going to be around forever. They do need to look to find his eventual replacement. Dont'a Hightower is a good player to consider. He is a good athlete that can do a lot of different things really well. Add in his experience in the 3-4 and playing under Saban and he is a great addition.

28. San Francisco 49ers: Keleche Osemele OT Iowa State
Jim Harbaugh has done wonders in his first year as HC, but they still have a lot of work to do. Especially along the offensive line. G and RT are big areas of need. Harbaugh wants a strong run powered attack and Osemele fits that bill. Osemele played LT at Iowa State but is a much better fit at RT or G. He could start right away.

29. New England Patriots (From New Orleans): Mark Barron S Alabama
Yet another year with New England having multiple picks. Look for them to address a defense that was like a piece of gum on a leak. They cut both starting safeties before the season and had issues all the way through. With that said, it wouldn't be a bad idea to grab Mark Barron here. He is the top safety in the draft and even though he projects better at the SS spot, he can play some FS too.

30. New England Patriots: Melvin Ingram DE South Carolina
Not only was their safety play bad, but the only pass rusher they have was Kevin Carter. New England needs to get some pressure on the QB and this might be their chance to get someone. Ingram emerged this year as a feared pass rusher and his position flexability would fit well with the Patriots who love to run a 4-3/3-4 hybrid.

31. Pittsburgh Steelers: Jerel Worthy DT Michigan State
Offensive line is the biggest need but all the guys that would normally fit here have been taken. This could mean they look to add to their defense live and gain some depth and possibly an eventual replacement for Casey Hampton. Worthy started the season off slow, but he really emerged at the end and showed the dominant force people thought he'd be.

32. Green Bay Packers: Ronnell Lewis LB Oklahoma
Even before Eric Walden got into a domestic disturbance, the Packers really needed some help at OLB opposite of Clay Matthews. Ronnell Lewis plays in the 4-3 at Oklahoma but his skill set and ability to rush the passer really translate well to the Packers defense that loves to play multiple linebackers.

Coaching Carousel (Gus Malzahn)



One of the hottest names in college football coaching the past few years is Gus Malzahn. Through stints at Arkansas, Tulsa, and most recently Auburn Malzahn's offenses were some of the best. His offense was run perfectly by Cam Newton and that allowed Newton to win the Heisman and Auburn to win a National Title. With all the notoriety, Malzahn was rumored to be the favorite for jobs at Vanderbilt, North Carolina, Mississippi, and Kansas. However it was Malzahn that "shocked" everybody and took a job at Arkansas State of the Sun Belt. This was the same guy that turned down Vanderbilt in the SEC for a job in the Sun Belt???? Now it was a surprised, but I'm not shocked by this. Let's take a look at why this makes perfect sense.


Gain Head Coaching Experience

Look at all the successful coaches in college football now. All of them got their start as a head coach at a lower level or another job. Urban Meyer was at Bowling Green and Utah before he want to Florida. Les Miles was at Oklahoma State before LSU. Brady Hoke was at Ball State and San Diego State before Michigan. By going to non BCS conference coaches are able to work through mistakes or a bad year without having too much pressure on them. Malzahn will be able to have years of practice running a FBS program before he takes his next job.


Talented Team

Malzahn is taking over an Arkansas State team that just won the Sun Belt with a 8-0 conference record and 10-2 overall. Now they don't necessarily have BCS caliber talent, but they have the ability to contend for the conference for the next couple of years. Plus previous coach Hugh Freeze ran a spread offense that has similarities to the system that Malzahn runs. Arkansas State also has junior QB Ryan Aplin who also lead the team in rushing. And we know from his time already, Malzahn system works when he has mobile QBs.

Location, Location, Location

Malzahn has a long history in the state of Arkansas. He grew up in the state, walked on at Arkansas, coached and won state titles in Arkansas, and was the offensive coordinator at the University of Arkansas. So it's safe to say that Malzahn knows the state. It is where he is the most comfortable. This allows him to have vital recruiting ties within the state and area to better his chance to be successful.

Future

We all know that Malzahn isn't going to coach at Arkansas State for the rest of his career. He is preparing himself for the next job. Whether that job is his "dream job" or another stepping stone. I don't have any sources, but I see one place that I feel he would take in a heart beat. The University of Arkansas. Currently Bobby Petrino is the head coach, but we all know that he isn't known for sticking around at a school for too long. Malzahn probably is aware of that and could be taking the steps to prepare himself for that job. He can be at Arkansas State and gain his head coaching experience, develop even more recruiting ties, and then when Petrino leaves he is ready to take over.


But who knows, maybe he just really likes Arkansas State. But he isn't as crazy as others might think.

Sunday, December 11, 2011

NFL Power Rankings (Week 14)

1. Green Bay Packers (13-0)
With the Chiefs, Bears, and Lions left on the schedule it isn't too hard to believe that the Packers should go undefeated in the regular season. I don't even think the Lions poise too much of a threat.

2. Pittsburgh Steelers (10-3)
Pittsburgh better hope that the injury to Big Ben isn't to serious. Especially with San Francisco this Monday night.

3. New Orleans Saints (10-3)
It was a scare, but the Saints pulled out the win when they needed to. But it took a sack with no time left on the clock to seal the win.

4. Houston Texans (10-3)
Despite losing their top two QBs, the Texans continue to roll due to their strong running game. However it took a TJ Yates TD pass to win the game and clinch the Texans' first ever playoff appearance.

5. Baltimore Ravens (10-3)
Any time you play the Colts this year you have it easy. This weekend the Raven's did. They won. If the Ravens want to clinch a 1st round bye they'll have to go through Cleveland, San Diego, and the Bengals. That should be pretty easy.

6. New England Patriots (10-3)
Because of a poor secondary, the Patriots kept the Redskins around and only won by 7. Now the Patriots must face off against Tim Tebow and the Broncos.

7. Denver Broncos (8-5)
Denver might be the hottest team playing right now. Sure they've had an easy schedule so far, but they are winning and that is all that matters in this league. But we'll find out how good they really are when they face off against the Pats this weekend.

8. San Francisco 49ers (10-3)
The 49ers have had a great season so far, but you can't explain that loss to the Cardinals. Especially when Kevin Kolb went down.

9. New York Jets (8-5)
For as bad as the Jets have looked at times this year, their only losses are to Division leaders. Now the Jets look to end the season strong and face off against an Eagles team that is looking to keep their roll going.

10. Detroit Lions (8-5)
After a huge start to the season the Lions are back down to earth. But they are still in the hunt for a wild card berth. But they'll need to play better than they did against Minnesota where they needed a forced fumble at the end to win the game.

11. New York Giants (7-6)
After looking like one of the best teams in the NFL for most of the first half of the season, the Giants went winless for 4 straight games. However they snapped that streak with a big win over the Cowboys. The win gives the Giants the lead in the NFC East.

12. Atlanta Falcons (8-5)
It took 2 4th quarter TDs but the Falcons beat NFC South rival Carolina and improved to an 8-5 record. The win also puts the Falcons right in the hunt for one of the wild card spots.

13. Cincinnati Bengals (7-6)
It looked like they would get yet another win, but TJ Yates proved to be too much for them. But they get the Rams next week. They need to win out if they want to make the playoffs.

14. Seattle Seahawks (6-7)
Even though they are under .500 they still have an outside shot at making the playoffs. Taking care of the Rams was the first step, now they have to beat the down and out Bears to keep the momentum going.

15. Tennessee Titans (7-6)
After another injury to Matt Hasselbeack, it looks like we might be seeing the start of the Jake Locker era? He looked pretty good in my opinion.

16. Oakland Raiders (7-6)
I don't understand why everybody thought that the Raiders had a great shot to beat the Packers. The same team who didn't have their best offensive player and a weak secondary.

17. Dallas Cowboys (7-6)
Yet another game wasted away. Dallas is the best team in the league at wasting away leads and losing games because of it. For a 2nd straight week they missed a kick after being iced. They are wasting away a pretty good season.

18. Arizona Cardinals (6-7)
Somehow the Cardinals are finding ways to win. This week it took John Skelton replacing a injured Kevin Kolb to lead them to a big win over the 49ers.

19. Philadelphia Eagles (5-8)
It hasn't been the season they hoped for, but the Eagles have a chance to make some noise in their division with games against the Cowboys and Redskins. But they'll have to go through the Jets first.

20. San Diego Chargers (6-7)
San Diego ended the bleeding, but they haven't fixed their team. They just got lucky playing a beat up Buffalo team. But it doesn't get much easier with Oakland, Detroit, and Baltimore left.

21. Buffalo Bills (5-8)
Their loss to the Chargers continues a streak of 6 straight. But hope is near. A game against Miami next week gives the Bills a chance to end their streak.

22. Kansas City Chiefs (5-8)
The shoe has finally dropped and HC Todd Haley has been fired. We probably would have seen it sooner, but the Chiefs actually started winning. Injuries were the biggest reason they lost this year, but Haley's seat had always been warm.

23. Chicago Bears (7-6)
The latest team to be Tebow'ed. You gotta feel for the Bears. They were riding high. They had just blown out the Chargers and with an easy schedule where on their way to at least a 11-5 record. But with Cutler and Forte out with injuries the Bears have lost three straight and two to the Chiefs and Broncos. A once promising season is now going down the drain.

24. Jacksonville Jaguars (4-9)
No matter who the opponent is, when you blow out another NFL team 41-14 you know it's a big deal. Jacksonville now has three winnable games down the stretch to finish their season strong and have some momentum going into the off season.

25. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-9)
When it rains it pours. And you know it's bad when the Jaguars blow you out. That's just unacceptable.

26. Miami Dolphins (4-9)
For 7 straight games the Dolphins were playing some good football. The won four of those games and lost three by a total of 7 combined points. But that all came crashing down with a huge loss to the Eagles. It also ended HC Tony Sparano's firing.

27. Carolina Panthers (4-9)
It looked like the Panthers were going to pull out the victory against the Falcons, but a missed FG doomed them. I'm really looking forward to see how this team does next year.

28. Washington Redskins (4-9)
Washington made it interesting, but the Patriots were in control the entire game. Washington and Mike Shannahan can't wait to get a new franchise QB next year and it looks like they'll get a shot at either Matt Barkley or Robert Griffin.

29. Cleveland Browns (4-9)
The Cleveland Browns are a mess. You wonder if they should have kept Eric Mangini as the coach. He had this same team, but they were much better.

30. Minnesota Vikings (2-11)
Despite their losses, the Vikings have been competitive. This week they had a shot to win against the Lions, but Joe Webb fumbled with a shot to take the lead.

31. St. Louis Rams (2-11)
In front of a nation audience, the Rams continued their free fall. Their 30-13 loss was another kick in the gut. But at least they will be set up to get an impact player in the draft.

32. Indianapolis Colts (0-13)
The season from hell continues in Indy where they drop another game, this time to the Ravens. Indy has three more shots at their first win, but you know Jacksonville, Tennessee, and Houston don't want to be Indy's first win.

Thursday, December 8, 2011

Heisman Watch (Final)

The regular season is over and bowl games have been announced. This means the Heisman Trophy Presentation is a couple of days away. Earlier this week I put out what my ballot would look like, but here I will give my final prediction on who will bring home the hardware. This is my third year projecting the award. So far I've successfully predicted the top 3 each year. Will the streak continue? Let's find out!

1. Robert Griffin QB Baylor
Season Stats: 3998 yards Passing 36 TDs 644 yards rushing 9 TDs
Robert Griffin's Heisman Stock has been like a roller coaster. After a dominant performance against TCU in the opening game, RG3 was the hot name and an early season favorite. But after losses to Kansas State and Texas A&M he fell out of contention, even though he was still putting up eye popping stats. Griffin rose back up the boards with dominating games against Oklahoma and Texas. RG3 accounted for over 4,500 yards and 45 TDs. But what is more remarkable is that Griffin has lead long time doormat Baylor to 9 wins and a 2nd consecutive Bowl Game. And that bowl game was almost a BCS game. Bet you never thought Baylor would ever contender for a BCS game. Not only has Griffin been the most exciting player this season, but he has done so carrying a team without many weapons. RG3 has been the best player this year and deserves the Heisman Trophy.


2. Andrew Luck QB Stanford
Season Stats: 3170 yards passing 35 TDs
Going into this season it was no surprise that Andrew Luck was the favorite. And why not? He has helped transform Stanford into a Pac 12 contender and was coming off of a dominating Orange Bowl Victory. Luck also has a squeaky clean image and is a lock to be the #1 pick in the 2012 NFL Draft. What isn't to like? This season has not been a disappointment. Despite the fact that Stanford's offense is a run based offense, Luck has still put up over 3,000 yards and 35 TDs in helping the Cardinal to a 1 loss season and 2nd straight BCS Bowl appearance. The problem is that Luck really hasn't wowed anybody. He is good, but everybody knows that. And even though they are 11-1 they didn't win their conference and lost against their best opponent. But if Griffin didn't have a huge game against Oklahoma I could be talking about Luck winning.


3. Trent Richardson RB Alabama
Season Stats: 1583 yards rushing 20 TDs 327 yards receiving 3 TDs
In a crowded Heisman Race every opportunity matters. If Alabama made it the SEC Championship Game, it could have given Trent Richardson one last opportunity to state his case for the Heisman. Instead he had to sit back and watch Robert Griffin dominate Texas and stake claim to the Trophy. But Richardson did all he could with the games he was able to play. He rushed for over 1,500 yards and accounted for 23 TDs. Richardson was basically the only offense for the Crimson Tide and his play this year has allowed Alabama to find themselves back in the National Title game for a rematch against LSU. But we could have our first Title Game without the Heisman Trophy winner playing in it.


4. Monte Ball RB Wisconsin
Season Stats: 1759 yards rushing 32 TDs
When you rush for over 1,700 yards and have 38 total TDs that you would be a favorite for the Heisman Trophy. However that isn't the case for Monte Ball. Ball has had a monster season for Wisconsin, but really isn't getting much love. Sure he is a finalist. But he doesn't realistically have a shot at winning. You would have to assume that voters feel that his production this year is a by product of the Wisconsin system and their mammoth elite run blocking line. And much like spread QBs getting the "system QB" label, the Wisconsin RBs get the same treatment. That's too bad because with all the 2 RB systems and spread passing offenses, we might not see another season like this.


5. Tyrann Mathieu CB/PR LSU
Season Stats: 70 tackles, 1.5 Sacks, 2 INTs, 6 FF 5 recovered (2 for TDs), and 2 Punt Returns for TD
Tyrann Mathieu here reminds me of Ndamukong Suh two years ago. Mathieu wasn't as dominant as Suh was in 2009, but because of his play this year he deserves every bit of attention he has gotten. Mathieu is a big game player. In all of their top games, Mathieu has made his mark. Against Oregon he returned fumbles for TDs. Against Arkansas and Georgia he returned punts for TDs. He was LSU's best player and LSU is the best team in college football right now. Without him they might have a loss or two. Mathieu has been the best defensive player and the most impactfull.

Sunday, December 4, 2011

Top 25 (End of Regular Season)

1. LSU Tigers (12-0)
2. Alabama Crimson Tide (11-1)
3. Oklahoma State Cowboys (11-1)
4. Oregon Ducks (11-2)
5. Stanford Cardinal (11-1)
6. Arkansas Razorbacks (10-2)
7. Wisconsin Badgers (11-2)
8. USC Trojans (10-2)
9. Boise State Broncos (11-1)
10. Michigan Wolverines (10-2)
11. South Carolina Gamecocks (10-2)
12. Kansas State Wildcats (10-2)
13. Michigan State Spartans (10-3)
14. TCU Horned Frogs (10-2)
15. Georgia Bulldogs (10-3)
16. Baylor Bears (9-3)
17. Clemson Tigers (10-3)
18. Oklahoma Sooners (9-3)
19. Virginia Tech Hokies (11-2)
20. Houston Cougars (12-1)
21. Nebraska Cornhuskers (9-3)
22. West Virginia Mountaineers (9-3)
23. Penn State Nittany Lions (9-3)
24. Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (10-2)
25. Cincinnati Bearcats (9-3)

Heisman Watch (My Ballot)

Over the course of the season I've used the Heisman Watch to predict who the voters will pick to be the winner of the Heisman Trophy. Now I'll still put out my last edition of the Heisman Watch later this week. But I felt this would be a great time to share my opinion. On this version of the Heisman Watch I'll provide my ballot if I had an actual vote (maybe someday).


1. Robert Griffin QB Baylor
Season Stats: 3998 yards Passing 36 TDs 644 yards rushing 9 TDs
Going into this season not a whole lot of people knew about Griffin. And those who did know about Griffin knew him as a tremendous athlete who could run all around defenses. But this year we've seen Griffin transform himself into a complete QB. RG3 threw for nealy 4,000 yards and 36 TDs while still rushing for 644 yards and another 9 TDs. Griffin has just been flat out amazing. Griffin has carried the Baylor Bears to an unbelievable 9 win season and their second straight bowl game appearance. Even in their three losses, Griffin had played very well. Griffin has been the best player in the nation and has had to do it with not even close to the best talent around him.


2. Tyrann Mathieu CB/PR LSU
Season Stats: 70 tackles, 1.5 Sacks, 2 INTs, 6 FF 5 recovered (2 for TDs), and 2 Punt Returns for TD
It's safe to say that many people didn't know about the "Honey Badger" before the season, but it didn't take long for everybody to get familiar with him. Against Oregon in the opening game, Mathieu was all over the place and had a huge fumble recover for TD. That became a stable for Mathieu. Whenever LSU needed a big play he made one. Against Arkansas when they were down 14-0 Mathieu returned a punt for TD to get the momentum going. He did the same thing against Georgia in the SEC Title Game. Mathieu didn't play any snaps on offense, but he was LSU's biggest weapon and was clearly the best defensive player this season.


3. Trent Richardson RB Alabama
Season Stats: 1583 yards rushing 20 TDs 327 yards receiving 3 TDs
Richardson was a contender at the beginning of the season do to the fact that he was the a dynamic running back on an Alabama team that was going to challenge for a National Championship. It also helped that Richardson was no longer a part of a RB rotation and was the only reliable threat for the Crimson Tide. Richardson didn't disappoint. With teams focusing solely on him Richardson was able to still rush for over 1,500 yards and score 20 times. Even against LSU, Richardson accounted for 160 yards. He has clearly been the best RB in the nation and one of the best offensive players in the nation.


4. Andrew Luck QB Stanford
Season Stats: 3170 yards passing 35 TDs
Luck was a heavy favorite going into the season and he hasn't disappointed. Luck is considered to the best player in the nation and a likely #1 overall pick in the next NFL Draft. Stanford doesn't have the same talent that most top 10 programs. However without a dynamic receiver Luck has had to rely on a collection of TEs to throw the ball to. He's done very well. Stanford has only lost 1 game this year and that was to a very good Oregon team. But Luck hasn't put the stats and impact that others have had. Luck is still a great player, but he hasn't been the best this year.


5. Monte Ball RB Wisconsin
Season Stats: 1759 yards rushing 32 TDs
Russell Wilson has gotten a lot of the hype, but Monte Ball has been the real star for the Badgers. His nearly 2,000 yards and 32 TDs are flat out good. Behind their powerful offensive line, Ball has been hard to contain and provided a consistent offensive threat that has allowed Wisconsin to make it to a second straight Rose Bowl appearance. But what hurts Ball is that even me could get 1,000 yards behind that offensive line. It was a great season for Ball, but I can't put him ahead of Trent Richardson who has done it against better defenses. And Richardson is only 3rd on my ballot.

Thursday, December 1, 2011

Coaching Carousel

With only a week left of the College Football Regular season, we are seeing several coaches being fired, and even have a few hired. Let's take a look at which schools are still open.


Arizona State Sun Devils
After the free fall that the Sun Devils took, it was no surprise that Dennis Erickson is gone. But who will they get to lead them? That's a good question. Their top target is Kevin Sumlin. ASU was actually rumored to have Sumlin negotiating a contract, but then the A&M job came available. Sumlin would go to A&M before ASU, so they may have to wait if they really want him. But if they don't, they could go up to Oregon and try and get OC Mark Helfrich or go to Eastern Michigan and get former ASU assistant Ron English. Bears OC Mike Martz is another former ASU assistant.
Prediction: Kevin Sumlin (Current Houston HC)

Akron Zips
Rob Ianello was let go after only 2 seasons, but those two season were pretty bad. But only winning one game in the MAC doesn't help your cause. Without much talent or recent history of success you would think that Akron wouldn't be too ideal of a place. However the Zips do have arguably the best facilities in the conference. This looked like a perfect spot for Ohio State interim HC Luke Fickell, but with him staying at Ohio State with Urban Meyer, this opens this up for anybody. There was also some talk that Jim Tressel could be the guy. But we all know that won't happen. Look for a Big 10 position coach, FCS, Division II, or MAC coordinator to take this job.
Prediction: Paul Winters (Current Wayne State (Division II) HC)

Illinois Fighting Illini
Illinois was looking like a Big 10 sleeper after six games, but then they just fell flat on their face. This collapse and the lack of success the previous couple of years it was no surprise that Ron Zook was fired. However Zook was able to bring a lot of talent to Illinois and leaves them better off than when he got there. It will be interesting to see where the Illini go with this hire. They went with a flashy recruiter in Zook last time around. This time they might be better off going with an X's and O's guy with some ties to the Midwest or Big 10.
Prediction: Paul Chyrst (Current Wisconsin OC)

Kansas Jayhawks
It is unfortunate that Tuner Gill was fired because what he did at Buffalo was nothing short of amazing. But when you struggle as bad as Kansas has the past two years, you can't blame them more making a change. Where Kansas goes is up in the air. Mike Leach was thought to be a candidate, but he is now at Washington State. Jim Levitt the former South Florida HC is a guy to watch. Yes he got fired at South Florida because he allegedly struck a player and Kansas had their own issues with coaches mistreating players. But Kansas' AD was an assistant at South Florida under Levitt at one point. Former Arizona HC Mike Stoops wouldn't be a bad choice either, but he'll hold out for a better job.
Prediction: Dave Christensen (Current Wyoming HC)

Memphis Tigers
Yet another coach who was fired after only 2 years on the job. Larry Porter came to Memphis and looked like a great hire. The former start recruiter for LSU, had ties to the area, and was a Memphis Alum. However his time at Memphis was a disaster going 3-21. Now they look to move forward. I don't see them going after another assistant. They'll more than likely go after somebody with HC experience. I really think that Hugh Freeze would be a great fit. He really did wonders at Arkansas Sate this past year and has coaching contacts in Memphis. Or will they go with a Tommy Bowden who has a bigger name?
Prediction: Hugh Freeze (Current Arkansas State HC)

Mississippi Rebels
The Ole Miss job is very interesting. It is an SEC job with a lot of talent with close proximity. However they are in the same division as Alabama, LSU, Arkansas, and Auburn. I don't care who you hire. That would be tough to win that division on a regular basis. So don't look for any big names to get this job. This job will come down to either Kirby Smart, Gus Malzahn, or Larry Fedora. Malzahn or Smart are more than likely their top choices. But Fedora would be a good fallback choice.
Prediction: Larry Fedora (Current Southern Miss HC)

North Carolina Tar Heels
Under normal circumstances this would be a top place for a lot of coaches. North Carolina has good facilities, fertile recruiting grounds, high level talent on the roster and a winnable conference. However with possible NCAA sanctions on the way, there is a level on uncertainty. Gus Malzhan is the popular name, but he could have about any job he wants. A name to consider is Skip Holtz who has ties to their AD and North Carolina.
Prediction: Gus Malzahn (Current Auburn OC)

Penn State Nittany Lions
The Penn State job is one of the most difficult job to predict. People like Al Golden and Greg Schiano would normally be high on the list, but with the whole Sandusky situation look for Penn State to bring somebody in who has no ties to the program. But who is out there that would take this job and be a great fit? There isn't too many people. But one makes a ton of sense to me and has been rumored to be a target. Dan Mullen. The current Miss State HC has had success in the SEC and would bring a lot to the Nittany Lions. Mullen is a good leader, strong recruiter, and has ties to the Northeast. Mullen was born in Philly and grew up in the Northeast.
Prediction: Dan Mullen (Current Mississippi State HC)

Texas A&M Aggies
This is the most recent job that is available and should now be the most desirable. Not only is A&M in the fertile recruiting grounds of Texas, but also moving to the elite conference in college football in the SEC. Add in the huge fan support and tons of money within the program and they should be able to get who they want. But we thought that last time when they ended up hiring Mike Sherman. Kirby Smart might be a good fit with their need for a defensive presence. But the hot name is Kevin Sumlin. However a name that not a lot of people are talking about is Art Briles. The current Baylor coach would love to move up to a better job and he has won every where he has gone. It makes too much sense, so it probably won't happen. But I'll take a risk.
Prediction: Art Briles (Current Baylor HC)

Tulane Green Wave
The Green Wave haven't been much of a contender in Conference USA lately, but they are a team that has the potential to be a Conference USA power. The state of Louisiana has too much talent and them being in New Orleans only helps. There was a thought that they could get their former OC Rich Rodriguez to run the program, but he went to a much better job at Arizona. So with Rich Rod out of the picture where do they go? Mike Haywood (former Miami OH HC) has interviewed and would be good. But do they want to deal with his baggage? Jeff Jagodzinski wouldn't be bad either. But Mark Hudspeth would be better than both. Hudspeth is a former Miss State assistant and is the current Louisiana Lafayette HC and has really turned that morib program around. His experience in the state would be help out too.
Prediction: Mark Hudspeth (Current Louisiana Laffayette HC)

UAB Blazers
the UAB job has to be the least desirable job that is open. Not only has UAB not has any success lately, but their facilities are awful. So don't look for anybody worth while to be wanting this job. You'll more than likely see a BCS position coach or a lower level coach taking this job. There are a few names being rumored for this job. But look for a name out of nowhere to get hired.
Prediction: Jeff Monkin (Current Georgia Southern HC)

UCLA Bruins
UCLA should be a good college football program. They sit in the middle of one of the best recruiting areas. But former HC Rick Neuhisel was unable to take advantage of USC's NCAA sanctions and is now gone. UCLA fans think that Chris Peterson is coming, but he isn't. Kevin Sumlin is a rumored name, but look for him to stay as close to Texas as he can. Look for them to have to settle. One player to really watch out for is June Jones. Jones has won at every stop and has done so without much resources. Put him in LA and he could turn the Bruins into a contender.
Prediction: June Jones (Current SMU HC)

Sunday, November 27, 2011

Heisman Watch (Week 13)

1. Andrew Luck QB Stanford
Last Week: 20/30 233 4 TDs 1 INT vs Notre Dame (28-14) Next Week: vs TBA
Comments: Andrew Luck's 4 TD passes helped him surpass John Elway's record for the most career TDs passes in Stanford's History. It wasn't the end that Luck wanted, but he sure did his best to try and impress voters. Luck has thrown for 3,170 yards this year and 35 TDs. Not too bad of a season considering that Luck doesn't have any elite weapons on offense and having a run based attack. Luck is clearly the best QB in the Nation and might be the best player this year overall. What helps Luck is that nobody else has really stood out on a consistent basis. And they may feel that Luck is the best and vote him the winner. He just has to hope that Griffin, Keenum, or Ball don't have great games next week.

2. Trent Richardson RB Alabama
Last Week: 27 carries 203 yards 1 receiving TD vs Auburn (42-14) Next Week: vs TBA
Comments:
Without the luxury of having the SEC Title Game to enhance his stock, Richardson had to do his best here in the Iron Bowl. Richardson sure did that. He rushed for 203 yards and added a receiving touchdown to boot. Richardson has enjoyed a very good season. It was memorable, but will it last in voters memory two full weeks? It's hard to say. But he has rushed for 1583 yards and 20 TDs and been the only consistent offense on one of the best teams in the Nation. Add in that Alabama will probably be playing in the National Title Game, that could only enhance his chances.

3. Robert Griffin QB Baylor
Last Week: 7/11 106 yards 1 TD 14 carries 62 yards 2 TDs vs Texas Tech (66-42) Next Week: vs Texas
Comments: After a great performance in their come from behind upset win over Oklahoma, Griffin was looking to continue his Heisman momentum into their game against Texas Tech. However Griffin didn't even make it to halftime. He took a huge hit and suffered an apparent concussion. RG3 wanted to go out and finish the game, but the doctors wouldn't let him. That ended his day, but at least it didn't' end his season. But he still does have one more game against a Texas team that has name recognition. But if RG3 wants to win this award. He needs to have a monster game and some memorable moments.

4. Case Keenum QB Houston
Last Week: 33/46 457 yards 5 TDs vs Tulsa (48-16) Next Week: vs Southern Miss
Comments: In their final regular season game before the Conference USA Championship the Cougars were in prime contention for a let down game. However Keenum had none of that. Against a good Tulsa team, Keenum threw for 457 yards and 5 TDs. Those stats only strengthen Keenem's chances at winning the award. But some will question the level of competition Keenum has played against. But one thing that Keenum has that Luck or Richardson doesn't have is a conference championship game. If Keenum can blow out a good Southern Miss team, he could sway a few voters. But it's a long shot at this point.

5. Monte Ball RB Wisconsin
Last Week: 25 carries 156 yards 4 TDs vs Penn State (45-7) Next Week: vs Michigan State
Comments: In a battle to see who goes to the Big 10 Title Game, it was Monte Ball and Wisconsin that manhandled the Nittany Lions and punched their ticket to the inaugural Big 10 Title Game. Ball was way too much for Penn State to handle. His 156 yards and 4 TDs adds to his total of 1622 yards and 29 TDs. But for some reason, he isn't getting any Heisman hype. But that could change if he dominates Michigan State in the Title game and gives the voters a lasting impression.