Sunday, April 28, 2013

Draft Review: Chicago Bears



1st Round, Pick #20:  Kyle Long G Oregon
On the surface this looks like a good pick because Long gives them an athletic lineman to plug in at the left guard spot and improve an offensive line that has been a huge issue for the Bears and Jay Cutler.  Long is a good athlete and has a good strength.  He'll fit in well with what the Bears want to do on the offensive line.  But Kyle Long wasn't worth the 20th pick in the draft.  Especially with Tyler Eifert and Sharrif Floyd still available.  Both of those players are more valuable and are bigger impact players.  Heck Floyd was a top 10 player.  It looks like they wanted to move down to get Long but couldn't find a trade partner and just reached on him instead.  It's one thing to get the player you want, but that's not a strategy you want to adopt.
Pick Grade:  B 

2nd Round, Pick #50:  Jonathan Bostic MLB Florida
The Bears are looking to find Brian Urlacher's replacement and are hoping that Bostic ends up being the right now.  DJ Williams will start the season as the starter, but Bostic could be the starter by the end of the year.  Bostic fits new defensive coordinator Mel Tucker's scheme because he has the size and speed to go side line to sideline and step up and make tackles.  This may have been a little early for him, but since the Bears didn't have a third round they probably felt that they needed to take him at #50 or they wouldn't get him.  So it's hard to fault them there.
Pick Grade:  B

4th Round, Pick 117:  Khaseem Greene OLB Rutgers
In what might be one of the best values in the draft the Bears got a real playmaker in Greene.  Many thought Greene was a lock as a second round pick.  But to take him in the fourth is a flat out steal.  It will be interesting to see where Greene plays.  His best fit is at the weakside linebacker spot, but Lance Briggs is one of the best in the NFL.  However the strongside spot isn't locked down.  Greene could find a spot there with his added ability to blitz which will come in handy on passing downs.  Either way the Bears found a talented player who could be a big part of their new defense.
Pick Grade:  A+

5th Round, Pick #163:  Jordan Mills OT Louisiana Tech
In their continued effort to rebuild the offensive line, the Bears found another good value in the fifth round.  Mills played left tackle at La Tech but he doesn't have the athletic ability to stay there.  However with Jermon Bushrod signed they don't need him there.  Mills will compete with J'Marcus Webb and Jonathan Scott for the right tackle spot.  Mills is a powerful blocker and should earn the backup job and could be the right tackle of the future if Webb doesn't continue to develop.
Pick Grade:  B+

6th Round, Pick #188:  Cornelius Washington OLB Georgia
This was a great move in two ways.  Not only did the Bears get yet another great value in taking Cornelius Washington, but their move back with the Falcons gave them a seventh round pick.  Washington made a name for himself with an impressive combine workout, but his pass rushing potential is what really impressed the Bears.  He doesn't have a great motor, but when it's on he's extremely tough to block.  Given his size he has the ability to develop into a weakside defensive end.  If Washington develops he could be the eventual replacement for Julius Peppers.  If not, it's only a 6th round pick they wasted.
Pick Grade:  A+

7th Round, Pick #236:  Marquess Wilson WR Washington State
Every year there is a player that has first or second round talent but slips to the final round or goes undrafted and turns out to be a big time starter.  Last year we saw it with Alfonzo Dennard and Vontaze Burfict.  Chicago is hoping they got that guy this year.  Wilson was considered one of the top receivers coming into this year but struggled in Mike Leach's new offense and then quit the team.  He has a ton of talent, but can he mentally put it together?  Who knows, but if the Bears can get Brandon Marshal sane, why not Wilson?
Pick Grade:  A+

Saturday, April 27, 2013

2013 NFL Draft: Matching the Quarterbacks

Normally quarterbacks in the NFL Draft are a valued commodity that often times gets over drafted.  We've seen Blaine Gabbert, Ryan Tannehill, Christian Ponder and Jake Locker are all players who should have gone in the second or third rounds but went in the first fifteen picks.  

But this year it's the exact opposite.  We thought we'd see Geno Smith and Ryan Nassib go early.  And then possible Matt Barkley and EJ Manuel getting taken in the late first with a teams moving up to get them.  However the fourth round is going to start today and we've only had three QBs taken (Mike Glennon was taken in the 3rd round by the Buccaneers).  

So what about the others?  Ryan Nassib, Matt Barkley, Tyler Bray, Tyler Wilson, and Landry Jones are still sitting out there.  Here is a look at some teams that would be a great fit with them!


Matt Barkley, USC
Perfect Fit:  Jacksonville Jaguars
If Barkley would have come out after his junior year he may have been the third overall pick.  Who knows, maybe he would have had a similar type of fall after more film study and critic.  None the less, Barkley is a highly intelligent quarterback that is able to go through his reads and find the open weapon.  He doesn't have a great arm but it isn't bad, plus he is accurate which helps his cause.  Add in that he is a good leader and a proven winner.  Barkley doesn't have Russell Wilson's athletic ability, but he could remind Gus Bradley of him. 

Ryan Nassib, Syracuse
Perfect Fit:  Kansas City Chiefs
I've never really understood why analysts loved Nassib so much.  He doesn't have a strong arm, lacks touch, and just makes some horrible throws.  But supposedly teams loved him in the classroom because he is highly intelligent and knows how to run an offense.  That leads a lot to a backup, not a starter.  None the less he still isn't void of talent and in the right fit he can still be very productive.  That team very well could be Kansas City where Andy Reid is a known QB developer.  Nassib is a great fit in a West Coast offense and could be that next Andy Reid success story.



Tyler Bray, Tennessee
Perfect Fit:  Pittsburgh Steelers
Bray is widely considered to be the most physically talented quarterback in this draft.  However he was widely inconsistent at Tennessee despite a ton of talent around him.  Add in some off the field issues and it's not wonder why Bray is still available.  However some off the field issues has never stopped any team from taking somebody in the final rounds of the Draft.  Pittsburgh was really high on Cordarrelle Paterson and in their workouts they reportively fell in love with Bray.  With Big Ben a constant presence on the injury report, a good backup is always needed.  Bray could be that guy.


Landry Jones, Oklahoma
Perfect Fit:  Chicago Bears
Another quarterback whose stock was pretty high but really fell of lately is Landry Jones.  He's been a four year starter, but really struggled when Ryan Broyles left Norman.  Jones has had to deal with a surprising lack of weapons and was still able to put Oklahoma into conference title contention.  He has raw talent and when he has good protection he can shred defenses.  But he really needs to improve when things aren't perfect.  Chicago who has long struggled to get a free agent backup for Cutler could go this route instead.  Add in that new head coach Marc Trestman is a noted QB guru and he'll want to get his hand on a developmental backup.


Matt Scott, Arizona
Perfect Fit:  Philadelphia Eagles
With Chip Kelly now running the Eagles everybody was waiting for them to target Geno Smith or EJ Manuel in the early rounds because of their mobility.  However as we saw they passed on both.  But don't be shocked to see them target somebody in the later rounds.  Matt Scott has long been that player linked to them.  Scott came to Arizona as a pocket passer, but thrived under Rich Rodriguez this past year.  He is still very raw, but has a strong arm and the mobility to run a little zone read and move within the pocket.  Don't be surprised if it's Scott who becomes the best QB in this class.

Friday, April 26, 2013

2013 NFL Draft: Best Available Players

Now that the first round of the NFL Draft is over and we reset for rounds two and three tonight, that gives us a chance to look at who are the best players available for the start of the second round.  Here is a look at the ten best.

1.  Zach Ertz TE Stanford
With the tight end position becoming a important part of NFL offenses, talented tight ends are going to be in demand.  Having Tyler Eifert fall to the Bengals pushed Ertz back down too.  But don't expect him to wait too long.  Former Stanford coach Jim Harbaugh is looking for another tight end to replace Delanie Walker who left in free agency. 

2.  Menelik Watson OT Florida State
With the run of tackles at the beginning of the draft I would have thought a player like Watson would go somewhere in the late first.  A player with his footwork, athletic ability, and size don't come into the draft very often.  But the fact that he's only played two years of football and has only played right tackle probably scared some teams off.  But he has the tools to be a left tackle and that should get him drafted somewhere in top half of the second round.

3.  Larry Warford G Kentucky
Kyle Long went #20 to the Bears and I felt that Warford was a much better prospect than Long.  Warford is a little limited because he isn't a great athlete, but he is a strong powerful run blocker that is going to open holes in the run game.  He needs to be a better pass blocker, but his size makes it difficult to get past him.  Basically he is the same type of player that Chance Warmack is, but a little less talented.  Some team is going to get a ten year starter in the second round.

4.  Jonathan Cyphrien S Florida International
We saw Matt Elam and Eric Reid go in the second half of the first round, but a player that is just as good (or better in my opinion) is Cyphrien out of Florida International.  Cyphrien is at his best in deep zone coverage or helping out in the run.  That makes him a good strong safety candidate who can also fill in at the free safety if needed.  Teams may have been scared off by some of his man struggles, but a team looking for a starting strong safety will take him early in round two.

5.  Jamar Taylor CB Boise State
Taylor's name was starting to really rise up draft boards leading up to Thursday.  However having Xavier Rhodes and Desmond Trufant fall took away some of the teams that were looking for safeties.  New England was a team that was really high on him but they moved down with an offer from Minnesota that they couldn't refuse.  But they'll still have their shot to get him.

6.  Justin Hunter WR Tennessee
My fourth rated wide receiver is Justin Hunter and he will likely be the first wide receiver taken in the second round.  He has good length, speed, and leaping ability which makes him a great deep threat.  However he probably fell out due to questions about his production this past year and injury concerns.  Any team looking for a downfield threat will be very interested in Hunter.

7.  John Jenkins DT Georgia
Not too many people might have Jenkins here, but he is a player that is going to be a good NFL defensive lineman.  Jenkins is a massive man, but he has the agility of somebody 70 pounds less than him.  Teams looking for a nose tackle are going to be very interested in him.  However Jenkins also has experience and the ability to play the 5 technique defensive end in the 3-4 and the athletic ability to play the NT in the 4-3.  San Francisco, Philadelphia, Arizona, and Tennessee could all be options.

8.  Matt Barkley QB USC
Everybody wants to talk about Geno Smith not going in the first round, but he's not even my highest rated QB available.  Barkley is a talented QB who got too much of the blame for a poor senior season which cost him a first round selection.  He doesn't have Joe Flacco's arm, but he isn't a slouch and might be the most NFL ready of any QB in this class.  Jacksonville could easily make him the first player taken in round two.

9.  Cornellius Carradine DE Florida State
If it wasn't for a late season ACL injury, Carradine could have been a top 20 pick.  Even with the injury, Carradine had been rising up boards and teams were still considering taking him in the twenties.  He has a ton of talent, but there are still questions whether he is fully recovered.  Is Carradine going to be ready for the start of the season, or is he going to have to start on the PUP list?

10.  Robert Woods WR USC
Arguably the most NFL ready receiver in the draft, Woods was a possible late first round pick.  Teams love his hands and his route running ability, but question his size and speed.  Those questions and teams passing on receivers lead to him falling into the second round.  Woods is probably best suited to play in the slot and those type of receivers don't go in round one unless you have Tavon Austin speed.

2013 NFL Draft 1st Round Report

1.  Kansas City Chiefs:  Eric Fisher OT Central Michigan
It was no secret that the Chiefs were going to take a tackle with the first overall pick.  For the longest time it looked like it was going to be Luke Joeckel, but Fisher picked up steam the past couple of days.  Both players are very close, but Kansas City chose Fisher because he provides more upside.  But you have to wonder how Fisher would have done facing the competition that Joeckel had to face week in and week out in the SEC.  I would have taken Joeckel.
 
2.  Jacksonville Jaguars:  Luke Joeckel OT Texas A&M
I get that Luke Joeckel is considered to be the top tackle in the draft, but I don't get this pick at all.  You are basically taking a right tackle here.  You have Eugene Monroe who is one of the top 10 best  left tackles in the game, why take another tackle with the #2 pick.  You need impact players on defense.  Take Dion Jordan and give yourself a playmaker.  Now you take Joeckel to play RT and then lose Monroe after next year.  Horrible pick.  But that's why they'll be picking in the top five again next year.
 
3.  Miami Dolphins:  Dion Jordan DE Oregon
When this trade got announced everybody thought they had moved up to get Lane Johnson.  However the first shocker of the night was that they got Jordan instead.  Make sense.  They'll more than likely get Brandon Albert and could really use another pass rusher opposite of Cameron Wake.  Look for Jordan to start out as a pass rushing specialist, but he could push Jared Odrick instead to guard where he is better suited.
 
4.  Philadelphia Eagles:  Lane Johnson OT Oklahoma
Well the run on offensive tackles went early.  Johnson has been a rumored name for the Eagles because of a lack of talent on their offensive line and his athletic ability make him a good fit in Chip Kelly's system.  Kelly loves tall athletic lineman and that fits Johnson to a T.  Johnson also has experience in a uptempo system, so that only makes it easier.  This may be a little early for Johnson, but he is one of the elite tackles and they don't come around too often.
 
5.  Detroit Lions:  Ezekial Ansah DE BYU
After losing Cliff Avril in free agency the Lions needed to find somebody to provide a pass rush on the outside.  Ansah is incredibly raw playing only a couple years of football, but he has that raw athletic ability you just don't see.  He should be a great fit because all he'll be asked to do is rush the QB from that Wide 9 spot.  But this has boom or bust written all over it.
 
6.  Cleveland Browns:  Barkevious Mingo DE LSU
Demarcus Milliner was the predicted pick here, but there was some talk of Mingo leading up to the draft.  It make sense.  The Browns only pass rushers are Paul Kruger and Jabaal Sheard.  Getting that third guy is extremely important, especially with Kruger not showing the ability to play against the run.  Mingo also is athletic enough to drop into coverage and set the edge on the run.  Could be the starter and allow Kruger to be in that familiar pass rushing specialist role he did so well in Baltimore.
 
7.  Arizona Cardinals: Jon Cooper G North Carolina
It's clear that Arizona wanted to upgrade their offensive line and protect Carson Palmer.  They probably wanted one of the tackles to fall to them.  However they did end up with the top guard in the draft.  Cooper excels at pass blocking and the Cardinals will need to because Arians loves to throw the ball deep.  Add in that Cooper could move over to center at some point and this pick can get even better.  Guards are rarely taken in the top ten but Cooper is worth it.
 
8.  St. Louis Rams:  Tavon Austin WR West Virginia
Knowing that New York was likely to take Austin at #9, the Rams used their extra picks to move up and get the player that they needed to jump start their offense.  Austin should step right into Danny Amendola's slot position and give Sam Bradford a receiver who is a threat to take it to the house every time he touches the ball.  Taking a 170 lb reciever in the top ten is risky, but Austin has rare speed and with a lack of elite skill players, they had to go up to get the top one.
 
9.  New York Jets:  Demarcus Milliner CB Alabama
The three players the Jets really wanted were all gone here.  Mingo, Cooper and Austin were all their targets at 9 and with them all gone they had to go to plan B.  Well that plan hopefully can step in and fill a void left by trading away Darelle Revis.  Milliner isn't close to Revis, but he gives them a starting caliber corner to pair up with Antonio Cromartie.
 
10.  Tennessee Titans:  Chance Warmack G Alabama
Even though they signed Andy Levitre in the off season to a boat load of money, it was clear that the Titans weren't done and were willing to draft of the two elite guards.  Warmack is a good fit because he'll be better at the right guard position opening up holes for Chris Johnson.  Warmack is a good pick and fit, but I wonder if they should have drafted Star Lotulelei to give them a better precence at DT.
 
11.  San Diego Chargers:  DJ Fluker OT Alabama
Going into the draft the Chargers had no other option but to improve the offensive line.  Without a lot of ammo they had to hope Lane Johnson fell to them here.  He didn't and with the top two guards also off the board they went with the fourth best tackle in the draft.  Fluker may never be a left tackle, but he is an elite right tackle prospect and will do wonders to help keep Phillip Rivers clean.  Worst case scenario is that Fluker starts at right tackle, but don't close the door on him at left tackle.  His long arms will help cover up some of his lack of lateral movement.
 
12.  Oakland Raiders:  DJ Hayden CB Houston
With Miami wanting to move up to get Dion Jordan the Raiders were able to move back and gain back a second round pick they traded away in the horrible Carson Palmer trade.  The trade looked even better when Sharrif Floyd (who they were rumored to take at #3) was still available.  However instead of taking an impact player, great value, and a glaring need they pass and draft a cornerback with some major questions.  Hayden has show a lot of ability, but he is coming back from a possible life threatening injury.  This is a very risky pick and it could turn out to be another Raider bust.
 
13.  New York Jets:  Sheldon Richardson DT Missouri
I honestly don't know what the Jets are doing with this pick.  Don't get me wrong, I really like Richardson as a prospect.  But I just don't know the fit.  Richardson does have the long arms and strength to play the 5 technique in the 3-4, but where is he going to play for the Jets?  They already have Muhammad Wilkerson and Quentin Coples at the defensive ends.  They need a nose tackle, is Richardson going to play that?  He doesn't fit there.  Are the Jets going to play more four man fronts?  Maybe, but Ryan is a 3-4 guy.  Maybe this was a pick that will help the next coach after Ryan gets fired.
 
14.  Carolina Panthers:  Star Lotulelei DT Utah
Defensive tackle was such an area of concern that everybody had Sheldon Richardson mocked to the Panthers practically the entire time.  Richardson went the pick before, but the Panthers don't have to worry because they got a better prospect anyways.  Star Lotulelei was one of the top prospects in the draft and if he would have gone #3 to the Raiders (before they traded it) nobody would have batted an eye.  To get him at 14 is a huge steal.  Lotulelei will come in right away and help a run defense that really struggled last year.  Can you imagine how good Luke Kuechly will be with Star in front of him?  Great pick here!
 
15.  New Orleans Saints:  Kenny Vaccaro S Texas
The Saints secondary was awful last year and it had to be addressed.  They signed Kendrick Lewis to play corner, but they needed somebody to push Roman Harper who has really struggled.  Vacacaro was ranked as one of the top safeties in the draft mainly because of his ability to play in coverage and help out in run support.  Under new defensive coordinator Rob Ryan they'll blitz a lot and they need their safeties to be able to cover man to man and help out in deep coverage.  That suites Vaccaro very well.  Don't be surprised if he's starting by the mid season point.  And without a second round pick, the Saints felt they had to go this route.
 
16.  Buffalo Bills:  EJ Manuel QB Florida State
Every year that Buddy Nix has been the GM For the Bills he's telegraphed his first round pick.  This year was no different.  They stated they wanted a franchise QB and that is exactly what they did here.  But the surprise was who they took.  Everybody assumed that they'd take Ryan Nassib because he played for Bills Head Coach Doug Marrone at Syracuse.  However everybody forgot that the Bills also thought Manuel was pretty good too.  It's tough to knock this pick because they were able to trade down and Manuel may have the most upside of any pick in this draft.
 
17.  Pittsburgh Steelers:  Jarvis Jones OLB Georgia
This is the exact reason why the Steelers are always good and the Jaguars are always bad.  Instead of reaching for guys or taking risks on potential players, the Steelers wait and let good players fall into their laps.  They did it last year with David DeCastro and this year with Jones.  Jones fell because teams were scared off by slow 40 time.  But if you watch his tape you'll see he dominanted the SEC.  Jones fits in perfect for the Steelers and will step into the role that James Harrison had before he was cut.
 
18.  San Francisco 49ers:  Eric Reid S LSU
All the rumblings of the 49ers wanting to move up to ended up coming true.  The early word is that they wanted Milliner if he started to slide, but it ended up being Reid.  There is a lot of different views on Reid, but there are very few safeties that have his physical skills and ability.  Reid has the size and length to match up with bigger tight ends and the speed and quickness to play the deep half of the field.  He'll be looked to step into the role that Dashon Goldson left when he went to the Bucs. 
 
19.  New York Giants:  Justin Pugh OT Syracuse
For a team that normal goes best player available and sticks to their board, this pick is surprising.  Pugh was getting a lot of attention, but he isn't worth a first round pick.  Pugh has good fundamentals, quickness, and footwork.  But his lack of strength and bulk really cost him a lot.  Pugh doesn't have the length to play tackle and doesn't have the strength to move inside to guard.  He can't anchor in against a good bull rush against defensive ends, so why would he be able to do that against NFL defensive tackles?  Horrible pick!
 
20.  Chicago Bears:  Kyle Long G Oregon
On the surface this looks like a good pick because Long gives them an athletic lineman to plug in at the left guard spot and improve an offensive line that has been a huge issue for the Bears and Jay Cutler.  Long is a good athlete and has a good strength.  He'll fit in well with what the Bears want to do on the offensive line.  But Kyle Long isn't worth the 20th pick in the draft.  Especially with Tyler Eifert and Sharrif Floyd still available.  Both of those players are more valuable and are bigger impact players.  Heck Floyd was a top 10 player.  It looks like they wanted to move down to get Long but couldn't find a trade partner and just reached on him instead.  It's one thing to get the player you want, but that's not a strategy you want to adopt.
 
21. Cincinnati Bengals:  Tyler Eifert TE Notre Dame
Tight end was definetely not a need, but the Bengals just couldn't pass on the tremendous value Tyler Eifert brings.  Eifert is a tight end but he's more of a slot receiver than anything, but they're drafting him to provide another weapon for Andy Dalton more than anything.  Adding Eifert gives the Bengals another red zone weapon in addition to AJ Green and an player to work the middle of the field.
 
22.  Atlanta Falcons:  Desmond Trufant CB Washington
When the Falcons want a player they are going to move up to get them.  They did that with Julio Jones and they did it again here with Desmond Trufant.  Atlanta needed another cornerback with the losses of Brent Grimes and Duanta Robinson and with Trufant sliding they moved up and pounced on him.  Trufant should fit in well because he is an excellent cover corner who can also excel in zone coverage too. 
 
23.  Minnesota Vikings:  Sharrif Floyd DT Florida
How Sharrif Floyd fell to the 23rd pick is atonoshing.  Floyd was widely considered a top ten prospect and thought to be taken in the top five picks, let alone the third defensive tackle taken.  But everybody's loss is Minnesota's gain.  Floyd will step right into the 3 technique spot and give the Vikings a young dynamic tackle to pair next to Kevin Williams.  When the Vikings were making a run at the Super Bowl a couple of years ago the big reason was nobody could run on them with the play of their tackles.  Adding Floyd will also allow teams to focus less Jared Allen which is a dangerous thought.
 
24.  Indianapolis Colts:  Bjoern Werner DE Florida State
Werner's stock really took a hit after a poor Combine performance where he looked stiff.  Werner's best position is probably a strongside defensive end in the 4-3.  However the Colts run the 3-4 and wondering where he is going to play is interesting.  The common thought is that he'll fill the role of Paul Kruger as the pass rushing specialist.  But Werner is a lot like JJ Watt in that he knocks down a lot of passes, so he could play some 5 technique.
 
25.  Minnesota Vikings:  Xavier Rhodes CB Florida State
Another great addition for the Vikings.  They ended up cutting Antonio Winfield who was their best cornerback last year and they needed somebody to step up since Chris Cook has been a disappointment.  Rhodes fits in great in their Cover 2 scheme and his size will come in handy against Calvin Johnson and Brandon Marshall who they'll see four times next year.  Rhodes is also a more fluid athlete than people think so that will help him in man coverage.  The Vikings are definetely winners so far.
 
26.  Green Bay Packers:  Datone Jones DE UCLA
Green Bay has never really replaced Cullen Jenkins when he left for free agency.  Jerel Worthy was drafted last year and failed to make an impact.  Here the Packers get a vastly underrated player in Datone Jones whose versatility makes him a great fit in the Packers 3-4 defense.  Jones can play a two gap system, be a penetrator, or even provide a pass rush off the edge.  He's basically a better version of Cameron Jordan.  Another great pickup for the Packers.
 
27.  Houston Texans:  DeAndre Hopkins WR Clemson
We knew the Texans were going to be targeting a wide reciver early in the draft, but they couldn't have imagined they were going to be able to get a quality player in Hopkins.  DeAndre Hopkins is a sneaky good athlete who runs good routes and catches everything in site.  He'll be able to work the short to intermediate routes and help free up Andre Johnson. 
 
28.  Denver Broncos:  Sylvester Williams DT North Carolina
What a great pickup for the Broncos.  Denver's run defense was one of the worst in the league last year and something had to be done to address it.  They signed Terrence Knighton to play the NT spot and now have a new starting 3 technique defensive end.  Williams is a stout defender who can play the run and has the speed and quickness to be a disrupter.  Williams also fits in extremely well because on passing downs they'll be able to slide Williams down to the NT spot when they move Derek Wolfe from DE to the 3 technique spot.  Denver fills a need with a perfect player for their defense.
 
29. Minnesota Vikings:  Cordarrelle Paterson WR Tennessee
There were a few people who thought that the Vikings could package their picks and move up to get Tavon Austin because he compared so much to Percy Harvin.  I'm not a big fan of those comparisions and if there was anybody in this draft that resembles Harvin it would be Cordarrelle Paterson.  Paterson is a raw playmaker who is a threat to score everytime he touches the ball.  Paterson also has experience running the ball and is bigger than Austin.  The Vikings gave up a ton to get him, but they needed a playmaker bad, so it's understandable.
 
30.  St. Louis Rams:  Alec Olgetree LB Georgia
Jeff Fisher just has a way of getting troubled players to stay in line and reach their potential.  He did it last year with Janoris Jenkins and looks to do the same here with Olgetree.  Alec Olgetree was considered the top middle linebacker in the draft, but some where scared off by some of his off the field issues.  If it wasn't for those he would probably be a top 20 pick.  Instead he'll go the the Rams where there is strong leadership and take over one of the outside linebacker roles.  Add in his ability to rush the QB and the Rams are getting a great value here.
 
31.  Dallas Cowboys:  Travis Frederick C Wisconsin
Out of all the reaches that happened in the first round, this is probably the biggest.  It was no secret that the Cowboys needed to address the interior of their offensive line.  But they didn't need to reach for Frederick here.  Frederick is the second best center in the draft and would be a better value at the end of the second round. Taking somebody like Larry Warford would have been a better option. But the Cowboys must have felt they wouldn't get him if they waited.  Let's hope that Frederick pans out.
 
32.  Baltimore Ravens:  Matt Elam S Florida
Every analysis believed that the Ravens were set to draft Manti Te'o with the final pick of the first round, but the Ravens instead focused on shoring up the safety position that was rocked in free agency.  Michael Huff was brought in to replace Ed Reed at free safety, but they didn't have anybody at the strong safety spot to replace Bernard Pollard.  Elam fits the Ravens mindset of being fast and phsyical.  Just watching him play just screams Raven. 

Wednesday, April 24, 2013

NFL Mock Draft

1.  Kansas City Chiefs:  Luke Joeckel OT Texas A&M
2.  Jacksonville Jaguars:  Dion Jordan DE Oregon
3.  Oakland Raiders:  Sharrif Floyd DT Florida
4.  Philadelphia Eagles:  Eric Fisher OT Central Michigan
5.  Detroit Lions:  Ezekial Ansah DE BYU
6.  Cleveland Browns:  Demarcus Milliner CB Alabama
7.  Arizona Cardinals:   Lane Johnson OT Oklahoma
8.  Buffalo Bills:  Ryan Nassib QB Syracuse
9.  New York Jets:  Barkevious Mingo DE LSU
10.  Tennessee Titans:  DJ Fluker OT Alabama
11.  San Diego Chargers:  Jon Cooper G North Carolina
12.  Miami Dolphins:  Chance Warmack G Alabama
13.  New York Jets:  Tavon Austin WR West Virginia
14.  Carolina Panthers:  Star Lotulelei DT Utah
15.  New Orleans Saints:  Kenny Vacarro S Texas
16.  St. Louis Rams:  DeAndre Hopkins WR Clemson
17.  Pittsburgh Steelers:  Jarvis Jones OLB Georgia
18.  Dallas Cowboys:  Sheldon Richardson DT Missouri
19.  New York Giants:  Tyler Eifert TE Notre Dame
20.  Chicago Bears:  Xavier Rhodes CB Florida State
21.  Cincinnati Bengals:  DJ Hayden CB Houston
22.  St. Louis Rams:  Alec Olgetree LB Georgia
23.  Minnesota Vikings:  Sylvester Williams DT North Carolina
24.  Indianapolis Colts:  Cordarrelle Patterson WR Tennessee
25.  Minnesota Vikings:  Manti Te'o LB Notre Dame
26.  Green Bay Packers:  Margus Hunt DE SMU
27.  Houston Texans:  Justin Hunter WR Tennessee 
28.  Denver Broncos:  Bjoern Werner DE Florida State
29.  New England Patriots:  Jamar Taylor CB Boise State
30.  Atlanta Falcons:   Desmond Trufant CB Washington
31.  San Francisco 49ers:  Eric Reid S LSU
32.  Philadelphia Eagles:  EJ Manuel QB Florida State

Player Profile: Shamarko Thomas


Shamarko Thomas

Height:  5'9
Weight:  213
School:  Syracuse
Position:  Safety
Ranking:  #6 Safety
Projection:  3rd - 4th Round

Strengths
-Explosive athlete.   2nd best broad jump at combine for DBs
-Makes up for height with great vertical leap (40.5")
-Great speed (4.42 fastest safety) that allows him to fly to the ball
-Able to change directions with ease
-Quickness allows him to stick with slot receivers
-Uses good instincts in blitzing
-Excels in the underneath zone reading QBs eyes
-Violent hitter who makes you pay
-Was used at times as a corner matching up with receivers
-Willing run defender who flies to the ball
-High Energy player which rubs off onto teammates

Weaknesses
-Doesn't have the height and length to match up with tight ends
-Inconsistent tackler.  Misses way too many tackles for a safety
-Will take poor angles to the ball
-Concussion issues.  Tends to lead with head too often
-Bits too hard on play fakes
-Lacks ball skills, only two career interceptions

Summary
In a year that full of quality safeties, teams are going to be able to get good talent throughout the draft.  One of those safeties is Shamarko Thomas from Syracuse.  Thomas has a lot to offer teams.  He has elite speed and quickness that allow him to react and fly to the ball.  He has the ability to cover half of the field or match up in man to man coverage.  However his limited size and length are going to make it tough to match up with the tight ends in the league who will be able to bully him with his size.  Thomas does have excellent leaping skills, but that won't be enough.  Sharmarko is a willing run defender and is going to come with a pop.  But he tends to take bad angles and if he can't square up a defender he often misses tackles.  Teams may also be scared off with his past concussion issues and his small stature which could lead to increased injuries.  Because of that you'll probably see Thomas go somewhere in the third or fourth rounds.  But Thomas' ability to play in coverage will make him even more tempting.

Player Profile: Corey Lemonier


Corey Lemonier

Height:  6'3
Weight:  255
School:  Auburn
Position:  Defensive End
Ranking:  #10 Defensive End
Projection:  3rd Round

Strengths
-Experienced.  39 games (24 starts) in the SEC
-Good speed (4.60) to bend the corner and get to the quarterback
-Speed shows up in his game.  Plays fast
-Big hands (10 1/8") and long arms (34 3/8") that allow him to keep lineman off his body
-Uses quickness (1.57) to beat lineman off the snap
-Strong upper body.  Benched 27 times at Combine
-Has shown the ability to drop into coverage
-Displays the athletic ability to play the OLB position in the 3-4
-Has a knack for knocking ball out of QBs hands (7 Forced Fumbles)
-Good motor.  Doesn't give up on plays

Weaknesses
-Lacks the bulk needed to play the 4-3 DE
-Tight in his hips when dropping into coverage
-Struggles to set the edge in run support
-Doesn't have any pass rush moves.  Relies solely on athletic ability
-Has trouble disengaging from blockers

Summary
Corey Lemonier has a lot of pure talent that is going to excite a lot of teams.  Lemonier explodes off the ball and uses that quickness and speed to get to the lineman's pads and disrupt the pocket.  He's used this speed to rack up sacks and fumbles when he gets to the QB.  You'd like to see more sacks from him, but playing on some bad Auburn teams the past two years, he hasn't had a lot of talent around him to take the pressure off.  But as good of an athlete as he is, Lemonier has a surprising lack of pass rushing moves and relies on his athletic ability far too often.  His only two moves to to use his speed to the outside or inside to try and beat the defender off the ball.  Once a tackle has got him, he's done.  You'd also like to see Lemonier become a better run defender, but because of his slight frame he struggles to set the edge and then struggles to disengage from blockers.  Lemonier is best served to play in a Wide 9 or 3-4 where his athletic ability and speed can be utilized and his inability to stop the run can be hid.  Because of this look for Lemonier to go anywhere from the late 2nd to the early 3rd.  A team to watch would be the Detroit Lions if they don't draft a defensive end in the first round.  Lemonier would be a good fit in their Wide 9 defense.

Player Profile: Christine Michael


Christine Michael

Height:  5'10
Weight:  220
School:  Texas A&M
Position:  Running Back
Ranking: #6 Running Back
Projection: 4th Round

Strengths
-Ideal size for an every down running back
-Good athlete.  Finished in the top 5 in all categories at Combine
-Good speed (4.55) that gives him home run ability
-Shows good explosion in and out of cuts
-Excellent lateral quickness
-Displays good vision to find the open hole
-Does a great job of getting small in goal line and short yardage situations
-Good balance.  Have to wrap him up to get him down
-Very elusive in the open field.  Is going to make you miss

Weaknesses
-Durability.  Two season ending injuries to his leg (ACL, and broken bone)
-Production.  Never got over 1,000 yards in a season
-History of fumbling issues
-Can be an inpatient runner
-Attitude Issues.  Clashed with new A&M staff.  Kicked out of game for throwing punch
-Accountability.  Slept through meetings at combine
-Limited in the passing game

Summary
Christine Michael has some of the best pure talent of any running back in the draft.  He has good speed and quickness, but his best strength might be his acceleration that allows him to get to top speed very quickly.  Combine that with good lateral quickness and the ability to cut and change directions easily and you can see why teams really like him.  But despite all this talent don't look for Michael to go early in the draft.  There are a lot of red flags that could scare teams away.  His durability is a big concern because he's had two season ending injuries to his legs.  Some will not like how he's never really had great production.  He's never gone over 1,000 yards or had any great season.  Still others will be turned off by his attitude.  Michael didn't like his lack of a touches this past season and got himself into the coaches doghouse.  All of those push him from being considered a day two prospect to going somewhere on day 3.  But a team that needs a good backup who can provide a spark could take a chance on him.  A team like Tampa Bay has shown a lot of interest to be Doug Martin's backup. 

Sunday, April 21, 2013

Player Profile: Marcus Lattimore


Marcus Lattimore

Height:  5'11
Weight:  221
School:  South Carolina
Position:  Running Back
Ranking: #7 Running Back
Projection:  3rd or 4th round

Strengths
-Productive when healthy.  2,677 yards in 29 games played
-Experienced.  Started every game
-Ideal size and weight for an every down back
-Large hands allow him to have good ball security
-Strong runner who is tough to bring down but is elusive in space
-Good vision who sees the cut back lanes
-Hits the hole at top speed but can stop and start with ease
-Always falling forward when tackled
-Runs with good pad level
-Can play in any offense
-Mentally tough and hard worker

Weaknesses
-Durability.  Coming off back to back major knee injuries
-May not be ready to play his rookie season
-Doesn't have elite speed
-Lacks experience in pass protection

Summary
If it wasn't for two consecutive major knee injuries we could easily be talking about him being the top running back in the draft and a lock in the first round.  However those two knee injuries are a big concern for teams. He came back from the first one and regained his explosiveness and ability, but can he do it again?  Lattimore came out strong as a true freshman and was getting a lot of comparisons to Adrian Peterson when he was at Oklahoma.  Lattimore isn't Peterson, but he has a rare blend of size and speed that we don't see very often.  He is a good athlete who can stop and start with the best of them.  This allows him to make elite cuts to set up blocks and get to that cut back lane.  If healthy he could easily be a top 15 pick.  But with questions about his knee and that puts him in the third round area.  But don't be surprised if he makes his way into the late second round.  A team like Green Bay could be a landing spot.

Player Profile: Jonathan Franklin


Jonathan Franklin

Height:  5'10
Weight:  205
School:  UCLA
Position:  Running Back
Ranking:  #5 Running Back
Projection:  Day 2

Strengths
-Highly productive.  4,403 yards rushing over his four years
-Good speed (4.49) and quickness for the position.  (4th fastest time at Combine for RBs)
-Does a nice job catching the ball out of the backfield.
-Runs good routes.  Was used a lot in the passing game this past year
-Displays good patience.  Allows holes to open
-Good vision, sees the cut back lane and how to set up blocks
-Elusive in the open field.  Good wiggle to him
-Shows the ability to pick up blitzes and keep QB clean.  Sense of pride.
-No history of injuries

Weaknesses
-Needs to add a little weight to absorb contact better
-Not an every down back
-Lots of mileage on his body.  847 touches
-History of fumbling
-Doesn't have great lateral quickness
-Isn't going to break many tackles

Summary
Jonathan Franklin is your traditional "scat back" or "3rd down back" who has good speed and is a threat in the passing game.  Franklin is a very good receiver coming of out the backfield who runs good routes and the best hands of any receiver in this draft.  But Franklin also provides help in the backfield in pass pro as an effective blocker.  Five years ago this would have been a bad thing, but now with the NFL being a passing league and teams running so much shotgun, this isn't a downfall as it use to be.  Franklin can be a big part of a teams passing game and still provide yards on the ground because of his speed an shiftiness.  The New York Jets or the Kansas City Chiefs could be options because they like to use the RB a lot in the passing game.  But, look for Franklin to go somewhere in the late second or third round.

Wednesday, April 17, 2013

Player Profile: Jesse Williams


Jesse Williams

Height:  6'3
Weight:  323
School:  Alabama
Position:  Defensive Tackle
Ranking:  #2 Nose Tackle
Projection:  2nd Round

Strengths
-Has the ideal size and bulk for the defensive tackle position
-Good speed for his size (4.84 40)
-Quickly fires off the ball and initiates contact
-Scheme flexability.  Can play 3-4 NT and DE or NT in the 4-3
-Displays a strong bull rush that can drive lineman back into quarterback
-Strong anchor.  Very hard to move off spot
-Great motor.  Never gives up on a play. 
-Good tacker.  Won't whiff on the ball carrier
-Football IQ continues to improve.  Finds the ball carrier easily
-Extremely tough and plays with a mean streak

Weaknesses
-No pass rush ability
-Struggles to shed blocks
-Short arms (32") makes it tough to keep lineman off his body
-Inexperienced.  Only started playing football at age 15
-A little too top heavy which causes balance issues
-Lacks good lateral quickness
-Injury concerns (knees, shoulder, concussion)
-Can get too aggressive and over pursue

Summary
In a league where the 3-4 defense is such a common place, prospects who can project to play the nose tackle spot are in demand.  Jesse Williams is one of those players.  Williams comes into the NFL with the experience playing in the 3-4 defense while at Alabama where he played both the defensive end and nose tackle spots.  However his game doesn't translate well to the nose tackle spot in the NFL.  Williams has good speed and initial quickness he uses to attack the offensive line and disrupt.  In one on one situations he is very tough to block.  He has a good bull rush that he uses to push lineman back and has a strong anchor to hold his ground.  However when he faces a double team which he'll see as a 3-4 nose tackle he struggles to disengage blockers and often is seen going down to a knee.  Part of this could be from the lack of lower body strength and short arms.  Williams would be much better off in a 4-3 defense in the nose tackle spot where he will see more one on one battles and can use his straight line speed and quickness to disrupt, rather than take on blockers.  However because the nose tackle spot is so important Williams will probably still be drafted to that position.  Look for a team like Philadelphia, San Diego, or the New York Jets to take a long look at him in the early part of the second round. 

Tuesday, April 16, 2013

Player Profile: Stedman Bailey


Stedman Bailey

Height:  5'10
Weight:  193
School:  West Virginia
Position:  Wide Receiver
Ranking:  #10 Wide Receiver
Projection:  Day 2 Pick

Strengths
-Experienced.  Played in all 39 games with 34 starts
-Productive.  1,622 yards and 25 TDs in 2012
-Large hands (9 7/8") makes it easier to catch the ball
-Never lets the ball get into his body
-Long arms (32") for his body frame
-Outstanding route runner who sets up his routes well
-Possesses good speed for the position (4.52)
-Good footwork allows him to get in and out of breaks
-Can make defenders miss in the open field.  Has a little wiggle
-Good body control that allows him to make plays along the boundary
-Does a good job locking up defenders in the run game
-Good work ethic
-Provides kick return ability

Weaknesses
-Lack of  quickness (1.58) may problems creating separation
-Doesn't have the ideal height (5'10) or weight (193) of an outside receiver
-Isn't going to go up and fight for a ball
-Doesn't catch many balls outside of his frame
-Has the tendency to drop catch-able balls

Summary
Playing in a wide open spread offense Stedman Bailey was one of the most productive receivers in college football last year.  He hauled in 1,622 yards and a waping 25 touchdowns.  Bailey used his good speed and elite route running to get himself open and pile up the stats.  When you watch Bailey play it almost looks like he is mailing it in by running lazy routes.  However but uses this change of speed and good footwork to set up his routes and create separation from defenders.  Bailey is also the master of double moves and has a knack for getting past defenders and make big plays down field.  He had good hands and does a good job of plucking the ball out of the air, however Bailey isn't a receiver that is going to fight for the ball.  He does most of his catching in open space.  What is the most impressive is that Bailey has great body control and uses it to make great catches along the sidelines and in the end zone.  Stedman played mainly on the outside in college, but he'll be forced to play in the slot.  There he can uses his route running on short and intermediate routes to move the chains.  Look for him to go somewhere in on day two.

Saturday, April 13, 2013

Position Breakdown: Offensive Tackles

For the longest time the offensive tackle has been one of the most important positions in football.  Keeping the quarterback upright and opening holes in the run game 

Elite Prospects
Luke Joeckel, Texas A&M
Eric Fisher, Central Michigan
DJ Fluker, Alabama

Luke Jockel and Eric Fisher are the top two tackles in this draft.  Both are elite level tackles who have everything NFL teams want out of a left tackle.  Fisher is a better athlete and a little bit longer, but Joeckel is a better run blocker and more proven against top level competition.  Joeckel is the safe pick where as Fisher might have the more potential.  Also fitting into this group is DJ Fluker.  Fluker isn't my third ranked tackle and probably will never play left tackle in the NFL.  But despite that, he is still an elite level player.  Fluker is a massive man who has great strength and is a better athlete than people think.  But he just doesn't have that lateral quickness that you need to man the left size.  He'll be an instant starter and the potential to be a Pro Bowler.

Boom or Bust
Lane Johnson, Oklahoma
Menelik Watson, Florida State
Terron Armstead, Arkansas Pine-Bluff

Every year we see players that come into the draft with a lot of raw talent.  They have the physical skills to be great, but run the risk of becoming a huge flop.  The dreaded Boom or Bust label.  This year we have three players that really fit into this category.  Lane Johnson is the third rated tackle in this class and has a great chance to go in the top 11 picks.  A former quarterback he has the size and athletic ability teams like.  But teams worry about his strength and experience at the position.  Menelik Watson is a former basketball player whose only played two years of football.  He picked the game up pretty quick and footwork is top notch.  He's only played right tackle in college, but has the skills to be a left tackle.  Terron Armstead was the star of the Combine breaking all sorts of records, but he is more than a workout warrior.  He uses that athletic ability as a top level pass protector.  But the way he run blocks isn't going to get it done in the NFL.  He is going to need some serious coaching up.

Right Tackles
Brennan Williams, North Carolina
Chris Faulk, LSU
Ricky Wagner, Wisconsin

The top guys is who everybody wants to talk about, but for years teams have been able to find quality starters in middle to late rounds.  Mitchell Schwartz was a second round pick and started at RT day 1 for the Cleveland Browns.  J'Marcus Webb was a 7th round pick who has started the past two years at LT for the Chicago Bears.  This year we have a few guys here that have the potential to become starters either right away or pretty soon.  Brennan Williams has the athletic ability of a left tackle, but his pass blocking skills keep him on the right side.  But if a team that runs a zone blocking scheme that needs a right tackle could insert him in right away.  Unlike Williams, Chris Faulk and Ricky Wagner both played left tackle, but that's not where they project in the NFL.  Both Faulk and Wagner are big strong powerful blockers.  They uses their size and strength to move defenders off the ball.  They lack the elite athletic ability and footwork to succeed at left tackle, but teams that run man blocking schemes will look to them to open up holes on the right side in the running game. 

Question Marks
Justin Pugh, Syracuse
Vinston Painter, Virginia Tech
Luke Marquart, Azusa Pacific

Much like the boom or bust category, the players that fit into the Question Marks are prospects who could be good, but there are just too many question marks about them.  Justin Pugh is a familiar name to some because he is getting a lot of attention from some experts.  However I see a lot of question marks.  Pugh has good athletic ability and looks like he could be a good LT.  However he has short arms and lacks good strength.  Pugh is going to have to find the right fit and scheme to be successful.  Vinston Painter is another name that stood out at the Combine with a good showing of athletic ability and raised some eyebrows.  However Painter was unassuming at Virginia Tech.  Was he a poor scheme fit?  Or just a workout warrior?  Luke Marquart is a mountain of a man (6'8 315) but coming from Azusa Pacific nobody really knows anything about him.  Maybe that's why 29 teams came to watch is Pro Day.  Marquart is a former basketball player who is still learning the position.  However he was coached by NFL Hall of Famer Jackie Slater and provides a lot of intrigue to NFL team.s

Tuesday, April 9, 2013

Player Profile: Terron Armstead


Terron Armstead

Height:  6'5
Weight:  306
School:  Arkansas Pine Bluff
Position:  Offensive Tackle
Ranking: #6 Offensive Tackle
Projection: Day 2 Pick

Strengths
-Has the frame (6'5) to be a left tackle
-Long arms (34") that allows him to keep defenders off his body
-Extremely athletic for his size (Fastest 40 for any lineman)
-Good strength (31 reps in bench).  Won 8 SWAC shot put championships
-Shows elite quickness (2nd fastest 10 yard split) off the ball
-Quick feet he uses to mirror pass rushers and keep them in front of him
-Shows good balance without lunging.  Never lunging
-Uses a good hard punch to keep defenders off balance
-Tough.  Played with a broken collar bone

Weaknesses
-How good of competition did he face?
-Not a great run blocker
-Despite strength, isn't going to force players off his spot
-Doesn't have a great anchor.
-Needs to add weight
-Not sound fundamentally
-Only fit in a zone blocking scheme
-Can get too high when blocking both in the run game and in pass pro

Summary
Terron Armstead was the star of the Scouting Combine using the platform to show of his athletic ability and get his name out there.  This caused teams to go back and watch his film and as a result he is shooting up draft boards.  However once you look at his film you see that he is more than a workout warrior.  He showed this when he was invited to the Shrine and Senior Bowl and held up against high FBS level competition.  Armstead has great footwork and long arms that allows him to mirror pass rushers and keep them in front of him. He has good strength and it shows when he locks on a defender they are done.  However it would be in his best interest to add some weight which will help him develop a better anchor against bull rushes.  What Terron needs to improve the most is in his run protection.  He does a great job of getting into position, but lacks the strength to move defenders off the spot.  He is nothing more than a positional blocker.   Because of this his best bet is to land with a zone blocking scheme that can take advantage of his athletic ability and have him on the move.  The good thing for him is that the NFL is a passing league and keeping the QB clean is the top priority.  Because of that he'll likely go somewhere in the second or third round.

Friday, April 5, 2013

Player Profile: Jamar Taylor


Jamar Taylor

Height:  5'11
Weight:  192
School:  Boise State
Position:  Cornerback
Ranking:  #8 Cornerback
Projection:  2nd Round

Strengths
-Experienced.  4 year player 48 career starts
-Uses strength (22 reps) to jam receivers at the line.
-Great quickness (1.47) and fluid hips used to change directions
-Good top end speed (4.39) that allows him to not get beat.
-Uses speed to fly to the ball
-Has good anticipation that allows him to stick to receivers
-Has the ability to play tight or off receivers
-Does a great job of reading QBs eyes in coverage
-Has a knack for creating splash plays (fumbles and INTs).  6 Force Fumbles in 2012
-Has a short memory. Doesn't let previous plays bother him
-Effective blitzer (4 sacks in 2012) off the edge
-Willing tackler in the run game

Weaknesses
-Short arms (30.68")
-Durability.  Knee and hamstring issues in past
-Not a great tackler.  Misses a lot
-Doesn't have good hands.  Drops more than he should.
-Can be too aggressive at times
-Can get engulfed at times in the run game

Summary
Jamar Taylor has used a great daft process to really up his stock.  Taylor was flying under the radar at the end of the season, but used the Senior Bowl and Combine to show that he has the skills that teams covet out of the cornerback position.  Jamar Taylor is a good athlete that has the top end speed, quickness, and hips to stick with receivers in man coverage.  Taylor also shows good strength and physicality in press coverage and making plays in the run game.  He isn't afraid of contact and is a willing run defender.  He needs to improve his tackling technique because he misses too many tackles.  Taylor is also a good blitzer and was able to get to the quarterback and create sacks and fumbles.  Where Taylor does a lot of things pretty well, he isn't dominant in any of them.  He still has a ways to go to improve.  But teams will look to take him somewhere in the second round based on his talent and potential.  He'll thrive early in his career as a slot corner, but should be able to develop into a starter.  He reminds me a lot of a poor man's Ronde Barber because of his all around skill and knack for blitzing off the edge.  Don't be surprised if the team that drafts him moves him to free safety where could be even better.

Thursday, April 4, 2013

Player Profile: Travis Frederick

Travis Frederick

Height:  6'4
Weight:  312
School:  Wisconsin
Position:  Center
Ranking:  #2 Center
Projection:  2nd Round

Strengths
-Big frame allows him to play both center and guard.
-Has the size and strength to take on the big 3-4 nose tackles
-Experienced playing both center (18 starts) and guard (13 starts)
-High Football IQ.  Understands reads, blitzes, and stunts.  Keeps head on a swivel
-Quick powerful hands he uses to jolt defenders
-Well coached with solid fundamentals
-Strong anchor.  Extremely hard to get pushed back
-Uses strength to push defenders off their spot
-Good footwork makes up for lack of quickness
-Plays with the nasty demeanor coaches love
-Doesn't give up.  Plays through the whistle

Weaknesses
-Isn't a great athlete
-Quickness isn't where you would want it to be (1.85)
-Doesn't move well latterly
-Doesn't always keep his feet moving
-Will struggle getting to the second level

Summary
If you are looking for a big, strong, physical, mauling center, then Travis Frederick is for you.  He is going to use his strength and size to push defenders around and open up holes in the running game.  Frederick doesn't have great athleticism, but he makes up for it with sound technique and a high football IQ.  He uses his hands well to jolt defenders and keep them in front of him.  What Frederick struggles with is quicker defenders that take advantage of his lack of lateral quickness.  Because of his lack of athletic ability he only projects to teams that run a man blocking scheme.  Frederick does also brings some versatility having played both center and guard while at Wisconsin.  He projects best at center, but can fill in at guard if needed.  Frederick compares a lot to former teammate Peter Konz and should go somewhere in the mid to late second round. A team to really watch is Baltimore who needs somebody to replace Matt Birk at center.  Frederick's skill sets fit what the Ravens like out of their lineman.

Tuesday, April 2, 2013

Player Profile: Sylvester Williams


Sylvester Williams

Height:  6'3
Weight:  313
School:  North Carolina
Position:  Defensive Tackle
Ranking:  #4 Defensive Tackle
Projection:  Top 25

Strengths
-Good size and bulk for the DT position
-Long arms (33") that allow him to keep blockers off his body
-Good strength (27 reps) that he uses to shed blockers
-Great quickness he uses to fire off the ball
-Uses speed and quickness to penetrate into the backfield
-Doesn't give up against double teams
-Good anchor.  Hard to move off spot
-Uses his big hands (10") to win hand fights and keep himself clean
-Great motor.  Always going hard.  Never gives up on plays.
-Position flexibility.  Can play both DT spots in the 4-3 and the DE in the 3-4
-Has a knack for blocking kicks

Weaknesses
-Can struggle to disengage from double teams
-No pass rushing moves.  Needs to develop something
-Inconsistent pad level.  Gets too high at times
-Raw.  Only played 5 years of football
-Can overpersue or bite on fakes
-Can disappear in games

Summary
Sylvester Williams has all the tools to be an All Pro defensive tackle.  Williams has the size and bulk that teams like and is a good athlete.  He has good quickness and explosion that allows him to fire off the ball that can disrupt the backfield.  Williams uses his strength to be a stout run defenders.  He uses his long arms to take on blockers and then shed them when he needs to make a play.  His strong anchor makes it very difficult to move him off his spot and really can clog up the middle.  The problem with Williams is that he is still raw.  He's only played five years of football and it shows up at time.  Despite his size and athletic ability, he isn't a dominant pass rusher.  A big part of that is he hasn't developed any strong moves.  But with his lack of experience he should be able to develop something with a little more coaching.  Williams projects as a 3 technique DT who can use that speed and quickness to penetrate and disrupt.  However with his strength and run stopping ability he could also play the NT spot in the 4-3 and the 5 technique in the 3-4.  That versitility will make him attractive to a lot of different teams.  Williams could go as high as Dallas at 18 but shouldn't fall past the Broncos at the end of the first round.  Teams will fall in love with his skill set and potential.