Thursday, July 4, 2013

2010 NFL Draft Lookback

The earliest in my opinion that you can start to evaluate a draft class is after three years.  Very few people come in right away and make a big impact, but by year three we start to really see what we have in a player.  Here is a look at the 2010 class and how the first round has made out.

1.  St. Louis Rams:  Sam Bradford QB Oklahoma
As a rookie Bradford looked very promising, throwing for 3,512 yards and 18 TDs but an injury kept him out of six games in his second season.  Bradford bounced back during his third year, but there are still questions if he can be one of the elite quarterbacks in the NFL or just average.
Pick Grade:  B

2.  Detroit Lions:  Ndamukong Suh DT Nebraska
Suh came in right away and was a dominant force as a rookie.  However his second year was marred by the stomp on Thanksgiving and his third year was nothing special.  Suh is still an elite player, but he'll needs to continue his development if he wants to shed the overrated label.
Pick Grade:  A

3.  Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  Gerald McCoy DT Oklahoma
Going into his third year it looked like McCoy might be a bust.  However in year three everything finally clicked, including a trip to the Pro Bowl.
Pick Grade:  B+

4.  Washington Redskins:  Trent Williams OT Oklahoma
This was a questionable pick because Williams wasn't the top tackle in the draft.  But he was a good fit in Mike Shannahan's zone blocking scheme.  Williams hasn't disappointed and is becoming one of the better tackles in the league.
Pick Grade:  A+
 

5.  Kansas City Chiefs:  Eric Berry S Tennessee
Berry was rated as one of the best players in the draft because of his all around play and playmaking ability.  He's made the pro bowl in both his first and third season and likely would have made in year two if he didn't tear his ACL.
Pick Grade:  A+

6.  Seattle Seahawks:  Russell Okung OT Oklahoma State
Rated as the top tackle in the class, the Seahawks were excited to get Okung here.  When healthy Okung has played like an All Pro, however his first two years were marred by injuries to his ankle and pec.  He played the entire 2012 season and earned his first Pro Bowl selection.  
Pick Grade:  A

7.  Cleveland Browns:  Joe Haden CB Florida
Because of a slow 40 time in pre draft work there was a thought that Haden could fall out of the top ten.  Cleveland took a chance on him and it paid off.  Haden has established himself as one of the top young cornerbacks in the league.
Pick Grade:  A+

8.  Oakland Raiders:  Rolando McClain LB Alabama
To say McClain has been a bust could be considered an understatement.  After an alright rookie season McClain got arrested, was benched in season, suspended from the team and then eventually cut.  He signed in the offseason by the Ravens, but after another arrested retired from the NFL.
Pick Grade:  F

9.  Buffalo Bills:  CJ Spiller RB Clemson
If it wasn't for an injury to starter Fred Jackson late into Spiller's second season we could be talking about his speed being wasted.  However being forced to be the every down back, Spiller has excelled and was just being under utilized by the former staff. Too bad it took that long.
Pick Grade:  A

10.  Jacksonville Jaguars:  Tyson Alualu DT California
At first it looked like Alualu was going to prove the Jaguars were smart in overdrafting him with a strong rookie year.  However his second and third seasons have been disappointing.  The new coaching staff is moving him out to defensive to see if it will rejuvinate his career.  The 2013 season is very important for him.
Pick Grade: C

11.  San Francisco 49ers:  Anthony Davis OT Rutgers
He was drafted to be their left tackle, but the emergence of Joe Staley has forced Davis to stay at right tackle.  That's not a knock on Davis who is still playing at a high level and a part of one of the best offensive lines in the NFL.  Well worth this pick.
Pick Grade:  A

12.  San Diego Chargers:  Ryan Matthews RB Fresno State
It's been a roller coast career so far for Matthews.  He had a poor rookie season but improved in year two rushing for over 1,000 yards and was a Pro Bowl alternate.  However his third season was a mess.  He miss a bulk of the season because of two separate shoulder injuries and when he did play it was full of fumbles and underwhelming play.  Add in an arrest in this offseason and you have to wonder how long the Chargers will put up with him.  
Pick Grade:  D

13.  Philadelphia Eagles:  Brandon Graham DE Michigan
Big things were expected from Graham when the Eagles drafted him, but he's failed to make his mark.  A big reason for that was two knee surgeries he's had to have.  It'll be tough for him to make his mark this season with Philly going out and bringing in free agents at the same position.  Eagles fan are kicking themselves for not taking Earl Thomas while they've struggled to find quality safety play.
Pick Grade: D

14.  Seattle Seahawks:  Earl Thomas S Texas
Desperate for starters at safety the Seahawks snagged the versatile Thomas and rejoiced in the decision they made.  Thomas has emerged as a playmaker and is considered one of the best coverage safeties in the NFL.  He's a big part of why their defense is so good.
Pick Grade:  A+

15.  New York Giants:  Jason Pierre-Paul DE South Florida
JPP was very raw coming into this draft with only one year of big time college football under his belt, so he was a big risk going this early.  After starting slow, he's emerged as one of the top pass rushers in the NFL and a cornerstone of the Giants defense.
Pick Grade:  A+

16.  Tennessee Titans:  Derrick Morgan DE Georgia Tech
Morgan came into the NFL as the most complete defensive end in this class, but was slowed by a torn ACL during his rookie year.  He started to show his promise this past year registering 6.5 sacks, but is going to need a big 2013 season before he's completely written off as a bust.
Pick Grade:  C

17.  San Francisco 49ers:  Mike Iupati G Idaho
One of the best guard prospects to come out in the decade, Iupati hasn't disappointed.  He became an instant starter and is the driving force behind the 49ers power running game.  Adding him and Davis in this draft really set the 49ers well.
Pick Grade:  A+

18.  Pittsburgh Steelers:  Maurkice Pouncey C Florida
After having one of the worst offensive lines in the NFL, the Steelers were able to get a gem here.  Not only did Pouncey start from day 1 at center, he became one of the best in the league as a rookie.
Pick Grade:  A+

19.  Atlanta Falcons:  Sean Weatherspoon LB Missouri
A tackling machine in college, Weatherspoon picked right up where he left off.  Manning the weakside spot he's become the captain of their defense and a big part of the Falcons being one of the top teams in the NFC.
Pick Grade:  A  

20.  Houston Texans:  Kareem Jackson CB Alabama
Help was needed after the Texans finished last in the NFL in pass defense.  Jackson really hit his stride half way through his rookie year and now teaming with Jonathan Joseph he gives the Texans two good cover corners for their bliz heavy scheme.
Pick Grade:  B+

21.  Cincinnati Bengals:  Jermaine Gresham TE Oklahoma
Improving his production each year, Gresham is proving the Bengals made a smart decision taking a chance on him when he didn't play his final college season because of an injury.  He's given Andy Dalton a reliable receiving threat and security blanket the young signal caller can rely on.
Pick Grade:  A

22.  Denver Broncos:  Demaryius Thomas WR Georgia Tech
Thomas was your traditional boom or bust player coming in with all the skills but was very raw playing in a triple option offense.  It's safe to say Thomas showed that he was a lot further along than most thought.  He's emerged at Peyton Manning's favorite receiver and is emerging as one of the better wide outs in the league.
Pick Grade:  A

23.  Green Bay Packers:  Bryan Bulaga OT Iowa
This upcoming season will be the true test of how valuable this pick was.  So far Bulaga's only played right tackle and done a good job of it.  But now he's moving to the left side.  If he locks down the spot this could become an even better selection.  At worst he's one of the better right tackles in the NFL.
Pick Grade:  B

24.  Dallas Cowboys:  Dez Bryant WR Oklahoma State
Bryant is a talented but troubled receiver who fell because of those concerns.  So far in his career he's lived up to those expectations.  Bryant has dominated at times and then been widely inconsistent with drops and mental lapses.  If he can get it all together he can be special.  But that's a big IF.
Pick Grade:  B

25.  Denver Broncos:  Tim Tebow QB Florida
Whether it was pretty or not, when Tebow finally got his chance in year two he made the most of it.  He took a team that was looking at an awful season and took them to a playoff victory.  But because of Peyton Manning signing with the Broncos he got shipped off to the Jets.  But leading the them to the playoffs and winning may have been worth this pick.
Pick Grade: B

26.  Arizona Cardinals:  Dan Williams DT Tennessee
As the nose tackle in the Cardinals 3-4 defense Williams has been solid, but unspectacular.  But that goes with the position. You want to get starters in the first round and that's exactly what the Cardinals got here.
Pick Grade:  B

27.  New England Patriots:  Devin McCourty CB Rutgers
McCourty has been the one solid consistancy in the Patriots secondary.  He's made a Pro Bowl as a cornerback but because of the emergence of Alfonzo Dennard and resigning Aqib Talib they'll be moving him to free safety where he could be even better.
Pick Grade:  A+

28.  Miami Dolphins:  Jared Odrick DT Penn State
He was brought in to be a end in the Dolphins 3-4 defense but when the team moved towards a 4-3 he was moved outside to end where he's been a solid run stuffer but offers nothing of a pass rush.  Getting a defensive lineman in the first round you expect them to provide some playmaking ability.
Pick Grade:  C

29.  New York Jets:  Kyle Wilson CB Boise State
Rex Ryan wanted to have three good cover corners so he could get more exotic with his blitzes.  Wilson has never really panned out to be the player they thought he'd be.  In the offseason the Jets drafted Demarucs Milliner who they want to start over Wilson.  That should tell you what they think of him.
Pick Grade:  D

30.  Detroit Lions:  Jahvid Best RB California
When healthy Best was a dynamic long touchdown waiting to happen.  However his concussion issues he had in college followed him to the NFL and his career is likely done.  You have to wonder if the Lions should have be weary of that.
Pick Grade:  D

31.  Indianapolis Colts:  Jerry Hughes DE TCU
Hughes was poised to be a star for the Colts.  Hughes was an undersized end who had good athletic ability and was a tear rushing the passer.  However he just couldn't make the transition to the NFL.  Even when the Colts moved to the 3-4.  Hughes was traded this off season to the Bills.
Pick Grade:  F

32.  New Orleans Saints:  Patrick Robinson CB Florida State
Needing help at cornerback the Saints found a keeper in Robinson.  He's excels in man coverage and signed a five year extension in 2010.
Pick Grade:   B+

Best Class: Seattle Seahawks (Okung, Thomas, Golden Tate, Walter Thurmond, Kam Chancellor, Anthony McCoy)  Four starters and two more key contributors.  Thomas and Chancellor are the top safety tandem in the league.

Worst Class:  Jacksonville Jaguars (Alualu, D'Anthony Smith, Larry Hart, Austen Lane, Deji Karim, Scotty McGee)  Alualu is the only one that's really made any type of an impact, and that's a stretch.

Value Picks:  Rob Gronkowski (#42 New England), Daryl Washington (#47 Arizona), NaVorro Bowman (#91 San Francisco), Jimmy Graham (#95 New Orleans), Geno Atkins (#120 Cincinnati), Kam Chancellor (#133 Seattle), Jonathan Dwyer (#188 Pittsburgh), Antonio Brown (#195 Pittsburgh)

Overall:  This is one of the best draft classes in recent memory.  Over half of the first round has made at least one pro bowl and we have several players (Suh, Ipuati, Berry) that are elite players.  Even the later rounds turned out some of the top players (Geno Atkins, Kam Chancellor, Rob Gronkowski).  Many of the top teams in the league right now can attribute their success to this draft.

Wednesday, June 5, 2013

2014 Draft Rankings: Defensive

Defensive End
1.  Jadeveon Clowney, South Carolina
2.  Anthony Barr, UCLA
3.  Adrian Hubbard, Alabama
4.  Aaron Lynch, South Florida
5.  Trent Murphy, Stanford
6.  Jackson Jeffcoat, Texas
7.  Scott Crichton, Oregon State
8.  Morgan Breslin, USC
9.  Demarcus Lawrence, Boise State
10. Kareem Martin, North Carolina

Defensive Tackle
1.  Stephon Tuitt, Notre Dame
2.  Tim Jernigan, Florida State
3.  Louis Nix, Notre Dame
4.  Anthony Johnson, LSU
5.  Will Sutton, Arizona State
6.  Ra'Shede Hageman, Minnesota
7.  DeAndre Coleman, California
8.  Daniel McCullers, Tennessee
9.  Chucky Hunter, TCU
10. Travis Raciti, San Jose State

Outside Linebacker
1.  Kyle Van Noy, BYU
2.  CJ Mosley, Alabama
3.  Ryan Shazier, Ohio State
4.  Christian Jones, Florida State
5.  Jeremiah Attaochu, Georgia Tech
6.  Shayne Skov, Stanford
7.  Jake Ryan, Michigan
8.  Jonathan Brown, Illinois
9.  Ron Powell, Florida
10. Lamin Barrow, LSU

Inside Linebacker
1.  AJ Johnson, Tennessee
2.  Tony DePriest, Alabama
3.  Max Burrough, Michigan State
4.  Yawin Smallwood, UConn
5.  Andrew Jackson, Western Kentucky
6.  Chris Borland, Wisconsin
7.  Eric Kendricks, UCLA
8.  Caleb Lavey, Oklahoma State
9.  AJ Tarpley, Stanford
10. Andrew Wilson, Missouri

Cornerbacks
1.  Bradley Roby, Ohio State
2.  Loucheiz Purifoy, Florida
3.  Jason Verett, TCU
4.  Ifo Ekpre-Olomu, Oregon
5.  Aaron Colvin, Oklahoma
6.  Marcus Roberson, Florida
7.  Quandre Diggs, Texas
8.  Justin Gilbert, Oklahoma State
9.  Damian Swann, Georgia
10. Andre Hall, Vanderbilt

Safety
1.  Ed Reynolds, Stanford
2.  Ha'Sean Clinton-Dix, Alabama
3.  Hakeem Smith, Louisville
4.  Tevin McDonald, Eastern Washington
5.  Jordan Richards, Stanford
6.  Tre Boston, North Carolina
7.  Kenny Ladler, Vanderbilt
8.  Craig Loston, LSU
9.  Dion Bailey, USC
10. Vinnie Sunseri, Alabama

2014 Draft Rankings: Offensive Line

Tackle
1.  Taylor Lewan, Michigan
2.  Jake Matthews, Texas A&M
3.  Cyrus Kouandjio, Alabama
4.  Antonio Richardson, Tennessee
5.  Cameron Irving, Florida State
6.  James Hurst, North Carolina
7.  Zach Martin, Notre Dame
8.  Cameron Fleming, Stanford
9.  Aundrey Walker, USC
10. Rob Havenstein, Wisconsin

Guard
1.  David Yankey, Stanford
2.  Xavier Su'a-Filo, UCLA
3.  Cyril Richardson, Baylor
4.  Gabe Jackson, Mississippi State
5.  Anthony Steen, Alabama
6.  Spencer Long, Nebraska
7.  Tre Jackson, Florida State
8.  La'el Collins, LSU
9.  Antwan Lowery, Rutgers
10. Mason Walters, Texas

Center
1.  Brian Stork, Florida State
2.  Gabe Ikard, Oklahoma
3.  Russell Bodine, North Carolina
4.  Tyler Larsen, Utah State
5.  Hroniss Grasu, Oregon
6.  BJ Finney, Kansas State
7.  Travis Swanson, Arkansas
8.  Jonotthan Harrison, Florida
9.  James Stone, Tennessee
10.  Cole Pensick, Nebraska

2014 Draft Rankings: Offensive Skill Positions

Quarterbacks
1.  Teddy Bridgewater, Louisville
2.  AJ McCarron, Texas A&M
3.  David Fales, San Jose State
4.  Tajh Boyd, Clemson
5.  Johnny Manziel, Texas A&M
6.  Aaron Murray, Georgia
7.  Derek Carr, Fresno State
8.  Keith Price, Washington
9.  Bryn Renner, North Carolina
10. Bo Wallace, Mississippi

Running Backs
1.  Ka'Deem Carey, Arizona
2.  Lache Seastrunk, Baylor
3.  Silas Redd, USC
4.  De'Anthony Thomas, Oregon
5.  Bishop Sankey, Washington
6.  Damien Williams, Oklahoma
7.  Carlos Hyde, Ohio State
8.  Ameer Abdullah, Nebraska
9.  James Wilder, Florida State
10. Tre Mason, Auburn

Wide Receivers
1.  MarQuise Lee, USC
2.  Sammie Watkins, Clemson
3.  Brandon Coleman, Rutgers
4.  Mike Evans, Texas A&M
5.  Jordan Matthews, Vanderbilt
6.  Malcolm Mitchell, Georgia
7.  Kenny Bell, Nebraska
8.  Tevin Reese, Baylor
9.  Cody Hoffman, BYU
10.  Devin Street, Pittsburgh

Tight Ends
1.  Austin Seferian-Jenkins, Washington
2.  Colt Lyeria, Oregon
3.  Eric Ebron, North Carolina
4.  Arthur Lynch, Georgia
5.  Jacob Pederson, Wisconsin
6.  Xavier Grimble, USC
7.  CJ Fiedorowicz, Iowa
8.  Kaneakua Friel, BYU
9.  Joe Amaro, Texas Tech
10. Ben Koyack, Notre Dame

Friday, May 31, 2013

Draft Review: Baltimore Ravens


Baltimore Ravens

1st Round, Pick #32:  Matt Elam S Florida
There isn't a player who better personifies as a "Baltimore Raven" than Matt Elam.  Without question the most violent physical defender in the draft, Elam is the type of strong safety the Ravens love.  He's definitely best against the run, but Elam is an underrated athlete who can range all over the field.  I expect Elam to be a Pro-Bowler in Baltimore.  Great value, great fit, and at a position of need.
Pick Grade:  A

2nd Round, Pick #56:  Arthur Brown LB Kansas State
Everybody assumes that Brown with the replacement for Rey Lewis, but actually Brown was brought in to fill the spot that Darnelle Ellerbe manned for the past few years.  Brown is very instinctive but struggles to take on blocks.  But in the weakside linebacker spot Brown will be covered up more and be able to use his speed and playmaking ability to his full advantage.  Bown was rumored to go in the late first, so to get him in the end of the second round is a great value.
Pick Grade:  A+

3rd Round, Pick #94:  Brandon Williams DT Missouri Southern 
With Terrence Cody not pulling his own weight at the nose tackle spot, the Ravens needed to bring in somebody who could push him or win the job away.  Williams dominated Division II with his size and surprising agility.  He has the strength and bulk to play the nose tackle spot, but has the versatility to slide out to the five technique or even play in a four man front.  This should help him see the field even sooner and help in rotations.
Pick Grade:  A

4th Round, Pick #129:  John Simon DE Ohio State
Plain and simple, John Simon is the replacement for Paul Kruger.  Kruger came in on passing situations for Courtney Upshaw to rush the quarterback.  With the additional of Elvis Dummervill Simon won't be asked to produce a lot immediately, but he'll be asked to be a situational pass rusher.    Much like Kruger, Simon isn't a great athlete, but a relentless rusher who knows how to get to the QB.
Pick Grade:  B+

4th Round, Pick #130:  Kyle Juszcyk FB Harvard
Interesting pick since the Ravens already have Vonta Leach who is the best fullback in the NFL.  So why do you draft another FB, especially in the fourth round?  Juszcyk does offer some versatility as a runner and as a receiver.  However they are stacked at tight end and have two good running backs.  Unless they don't think Leach will be with the team after this year, this could be a wasted pick.
Pick Grade:  D

5th Round, Pick #168:  Ricky Wagner OT Wisconsin
With the constant uncertainty at the LT spot, having a good backup at RT for when Michael Oher slides over is a must.  Jah Reid is the current backup, but he hasn't really taken a hold of the spot.  Wagner is a fierce run blocker and that will make him a good fit for the Ravens.  He'll have his shot to win the backup job from Reid bring more depth to this line.
Pick Grade:  B

6th Round, Pick #200:  Kapron Lewis-Moore DE Notre Dame
In their efforts to improve their defensive line the Ravens may have found a gem here.  Lewis-Moore was on the verge of being a fast riser, but a bad knee injury in the National Championship Game really put a halt to his rise.  However Lewis-Moore has a good anchor and strong hands.  Because they brought in some veteran help that allows Lewis-Moore to fully recover from his injuries and make a run at a starting job next year.
Pick Grade:  B+

6th Round, Pick #203:  Ryan Jensen G Colorado State-Pueblo
Jensen is a nasty blocker who will be moved inside to guard because of his size and lack of length.  Baltimore could really use some depth behind Marshall Yanda and Keleche Osemele.  If Jensen can make the transition from small school and a position change he could really help out.
Pick Grade:  C+

7th Round, Pick #238:  Aaron Mellette WR Elon
A big bodied receiver, Mallette is also a good route runner.  However he doesn't have good speed or quickness and will as a result will be nothing more than a possession receiver.  Baltimore could really have used a pick on somebody to try and help replace Anquan Boldin.  Instead they waited till the seventh round on somebody who isn't quick nor fast.
Pick Grade:  D

7th Round, Pick #247:  Marc Anthony CB California
Anthony has good quickness and can match up man to man in the short area.  However he doesn't have that closing speed that the Ravens normally go after.  Hopefully Anthony can develop into a solid nickel back or as a special teamer.
Pick Grade:  D

Overall Grade:  B

Draft Review: Oakland Raiders

Oakland Raideres

1st Round, Pick #12:  DJ Hayden CB Houston
I'm a DJ Hayden fan, but the fact that the Raiders passed up Star Lotulelei here was shocking to me.  Getting a talented cornerback like Hayden is great, but he's not going to do you any good if the defensive line is terrible and isn't stopping the run or creating pressure.  Lotulelei would have been a great pick at #3, let alone #12.  If I'm building a team it starts in the trenches, but then we're talking about the Oakland Raider here.
Pick Grade:  D

2nd Round, Pick #42:  Menelik Watson OT Florida State
One of the biggest benefits of them trading down from #3 to #12 is that they were able to get back a second round pick that they had previously lost in the Carson Palmer trade.  Here the Raiders get an offensive tackle who is talented but raw.  Watson has only played two years of football in his life, but he has the size and athletic ability that is needed.  With Jared Veldheer and Khalif Barnes set at each tackle spots they don't have to rush Watson into the starting lineup and develop him into an eventual starter.
Pick Grade:  B

3rd Round, Pick #66:  Sio Moore LB UConn
A value pick here.  A strongside linebacker isn't a huge need because they just signed Nick Roach, but GM Reggie McKenzie is all about upgrading the talent level and Moore fits right in.  Moore is a good athlete and can run and tackle very well.  Add in that Sio is a good blitzer and that should be able find a role early on.  Head Coach Dennis Allen could use him similarly to what he did in Denver with Von Miller rushing from the LB position.
Pick Grade:  A 

4th Round, Pick #112:  Tyler Wilson QB Arkansas
The quarterback position is up in the air for the Raiders.  Carson Palmer is gone and Matt Flynn was brought in via a trade.  Flynn should get the nod, but Wilson will have a shot to compete.  Going into this season Wilson was thought to be a possible 1st round QB and some even thought he was the top QB in the draft.  But a coaching change really threw him off and he became very inconsistent.  But Wilson is still a very accurate passer and can make every throw.  He could be a sleeper and could become the Raiders starter in the next few years if Flynn can't get the job done.
Pick Grade:  A

6th Round, Pick #172:  Nick Kasa TE Colorado
It's safe to say that the tight end position has been void of any talent since Zach Miller left in free agency a couple of years ago.  Nick Kasa isn't going be a dynamic threat, but he does give the Raiders a good blocker who can help their run game and give them the ability to run more two tight end sets.  Kasa may not be a sexy pick, but he gives them a solid player with some flexibility.
Pick Grade: B+

6th Round, Pick #181:  Latavius Murray RB Central Florida
Oakland had a good tandem of Darren McFadden and Michael Bush.  However Bush is gone and Oakland wants back that tough physical runner that he use to provide.  However Murray isn't overally talented and the Raiders would have been better off going with somebody like Andre Ellington, Rex Burkhead, or Onterio McCalebb who are all better backs.
Pick Grade:  D-

6th Round, Pick #184:  Mychal Rivera TE Tennessee
After taking a blocking tight end in Nick Kasa twelve picks earlier, the Raiders go with a good complement in Rivera.  Unlike Kasa, Rivera is a threat in the passing game and will be moved around the field to take advantage of mismatches or to give a different look.  The problem is that Rivera isn't going to give you anything in the run game and isn't an great athlete.  They better hope Rivera is a gem because relying on two 6th round picks to rejuvenate the tight end position is risky.
Pick Grade:  B

6th Round, Pick #205:  Stacy McGee DT Oklahoma
When waiting till the sixth round to fill their biggest need isn't going to solve their problems.  Especially when they could have gotten Star Lotulelei at twelve.  McGee is going to give them a big body who is going to take on blockers.  But don't look for him to apply any pressure.
Pick Grade:  C

7th Round, Pick #209:  Brice Butler WR San Diego State
Here is your typical seventh round pick.  Brice Butler may not have had a ton of production at San Diego State but he has the height/weight/speed that sparks interest in general managers and scouts.  Butler isn't a polished route runner but he does have the speed to stretch the field and could provide them with a deep threat at a minimum.  But GM Reggie McKenzie comes from the Packers who have a ton of success with late round receivers, so Butler does have that going for him.
Pick Grade:  C

7th Round, Pick #233:  David Bass DE Missouri Western
Bass could have been a higher round pick, but he struggled at the Shrine Game bringing up concerns whether he was just cleaned up on inferior competition.  However his tape was just too good to not take a risk on and using a seventh round pick isn't going to hurt them too much if he doesn't pan out.
Pick Grade:  C+

Overall Grade:  C

Wednesday, May 29, 2013

Draft Review: Washington Redskins

Washington Redskins

2nd Round, Pick #51:  David Amerson CB North Carolina State
Washington made their secondary a priority after it struggled through most of the past season.  Amerson was once thought to be a top 10 pick because of his size, speed, and ball skills.  However he slipped into the second round due to a poor 2012 season.  Amerson still has the talent and his size and strength fit in well with defensive coordinator Jim Haslett loving to run press coverage.  Amerson will get to compete right away for a starting spot and should see plenty of playing time.
Pick Grade:  A

3rd Round, Pick #85:  Jordan Reed TE Florida
Their lack of depth at the tight end spot really showed last year when Fred Davis went down with injury.  With Davis still questionable coming off his injury and Logan Paulson being more of a blocker the Redskins could use another weapon at the position.  Reed isn't a prototypical tight end because he won't offer anything in the run game.  But uses his elite quickness and route running to create mismatches in the passing game.  His versatility will also come in handy with offensive coordinator Brian Shannahan's unique offense.
Pick Grade:  B+

4th Round, Pick #119:  Phillip Thomas S Fresno State
After signing a bunch of has beens and backups to fix the safety situation, the Redskins now are going the draft route.  Thomas lead the nation with 8 INTs this year and was the Bulldogs leading tackler.  Thomas does lack elite range but with the lack of production they have at the position, Thomas will get every chance to win a starting spot.
Pick Grade:  A

5th Round, Pick #154:  Chris Thompson RB Florida State
Running back is not a position of need at all for the Redskins.  They have Alfred Morris who is a stud and Evan Royster as a backup who has played well when called upon.  Throw in Roy Helu who had a good rookie year coming off an injury and there is a lot of talent.  But I'll give them a pass since Thompson is a different type of back then all of them.  Thompson is a small speedster that reminds me of another Seminole in Warrick Dunn. 
Pick Grade:  C

5th Round, Pick #162:  Brandon Jenkins DE Florida State
Getting Brandon Jenkins here has all the makings of a steal.  Jenkins was a first round talent before a foot injury ended his season.  Jenkins is a great fit in the 3-4 because he is a good athlete and pass rusher.  Washington desperately needs to add another pass rusher to Ryan Kerrigan and Brian Orakpo.  To be honest, I can't believe he lasted this long.
Pick Grade:  A+

6th Round, Pick #191:  Bacarri Rambo S Georgia
Continuing their theme of improving the secondary the Redskins are hoping they found their new strong safety.  Rambo should have been a day two pick, but fell due to off the field issues.  Rambo has a knack for finding the ball and is good in run support.  He'll be able to find a role on special teams and could work his way into the starting lineup as he continues to develop.  But he's definitely worth the risk here in the 6th round.
Pick Grade:  A

7th Round, Pick #228:  Jawan Jamison RB Rutgers
I understand Mike Shannahan loves taking running backs late and has a track record of finding gems.  However they have no need for a running back and to use two picks on running backs when they have an elite player and two other young backs that have shown they can get it done.  So why not take another CB which is a huge area of need.  Or maybe getting a WR or lineman to help the offense.  Just don't get this at all.
Pick Grade:  F

Tuesday, May 14, 2013

Draft Review: San Francisco 49ers


San Francisco 49ers

1st Round, Pick #18:  Eric Reid S LSU
I'm not a big Eric Reid fan, but I am not about to question Jim Harbaugh, Trent Baalke and the 'Niners personnel staff who have earned respect complete respect. We've been hearing all along that NFL teams liked Reid better than the analysts, and it must have been true considering the fact that San Francisco felt the need to trade up to get him. I wouldn't have done this, but the 49ers surely know better than I.
Pick Grade:  B

2nd Round, Pick #40:  Cornellius Carradine DE Florida State
If it wasn't for a late season knee injury, Carradine could have been a top 15 pick.  Heck he was even rumored to go in the first round despite the injury.  So getting him in the early second round is a good value granted he returns to full strength.  Because the 49ers are deep with talent they can afford to bring him along slowly.  Once back Carradine could be their future replacement to Justin Smith because of his combination of power and strength.  He is excellent against the run and a relentless pass rusher.
Pick Grade:  A

2nd Round, Pick #55:  Vance McDonald TE Rice
Losing Delanie Walker to the Titans this off season was a big blow to the offense because they love to run two tight end sets and Walker's versatility helps them create mismatches.  Finding somebody to fill those shoes was a must.  One player that seemed to be the ideal fit was McDonald.  McDonald is a solid blocker and can be used as both an inline blocker and be motioned into the backfield and used as a fullback.  He is limited in the passing game, but has good straight line speed which can be used to attack the seem.  This is a good fit, but you would have thought they could have waited till the third round to get him.
Pick Grade:  B+

3rd Round, Pick #88:  Corey Lemonier DE Auburn
Corey Lemonier is a one trick pony being a pass rushing specialist.  That's why he dropped to the third round.  However the 49ers who could really use some more pass rushers at the outside linebacker spot could really use some  help.  Look for the Niners to use Lemonier like they did with Aldon Smith and bring him in on obvious passing situations for Ahmad Brooks who is more of a run stuffer. 
Pick Grade:  A

4th Round, Pick #128:  Quinton Patton WR Louisiana Tech
If Quinton Patton would have gone #32 to the Baltimore Ravens as he was rumored to, nobody would have questioned it.  So to get him here in the fourth is outstanding.  Patton is a very talented route runner and will move the chains.  However he isn't that burner that the team really needs to make this offense great.  Don't expect to see much of him right away, but he could learn a lot from Anquan Boldin.
Pick Grade:  A+

4th Round, Pick #131:  Marcus Lattimore RB South Carolina
Much like the 49ers second pick, Marcus Lattimore could have easily been a top 15 pick if it wasn't for two major knee injuries.  Lattimore won't be ready to go this year, but they don't need him.  He'll use this as a redshirt year and come back ready to compete for the starting job in 2014.  With this many picks and so much talent on the team they can afford to take a risk here.
Pick Grade:  A+

5th Round, Pick #157:  Quinton Dial DE Alabama
Dial isn't a difference maker but the 49ers don't need him to be.  Dial will look to backup Ray McDonald at the DT spot in the 49ers 3-4 defense.  Dial is a stout run defender and has a strong anchor.  He'll provide depth and could become a starter in a couple of years.
Pick Grade:  B

6th Round, Pick #180:  Nick Moody LB Florida State
San Francisco is pretty set at inside linebacker with Navarro Bowman and Patrick Willis, but they do lack depth behind them in case one of them gets hurt.  Moody is a former safety who is good in coverage and has good instincts.  He should be a good special teams player and could develop behind those two.
Pick Grade:  B

7th Round, Pick #237:  BJ Daniels QB South Florida
The fact that San Francisco took a quarterback here isn't a surprise.  They traded away Alex Smith and the only backup on the roster is Scott Tolzein.  With Kaepernick so active running the ball they need a quality backup in case he gets hurt.  BJ Daniels has the mobility to run some of the same runs that CK7 does, but he isn't a very good passer.  Why they chose Daniels over Matt Scott is beyond me. 
Pick Grade:  F

7th Round, Pick #246:  Carter Bykowski OT Iowa State
Bykowski's blocking style is a perfect fit with the 49ers.  He's a powerful blocker who plays with an edge.  He'll probably have to kick inside to guard and could provide depth.  San Francisco has had success with late round and undrafted players turning Alex Boone into a starter. 
Pick Grade:  B

7th Round, Pick #252:  Marcus Cooper CB Rutgers
A typical seventh round pick here.  Cooper has the height, length, and strength to be a good press corner.  However he isn't a very fluid athlete and his instincts are sub par.  If he wants to make this team he'll have to find a role on special teams.  But don't go out and buy his jersey, cause he probably won't make the team.  I would have much rather seen them take a risk on a talented player who could make this team.  Joseph Fauria would be a good piece in their tight end focused offense.
Pick Grade:  D

Overall Grade:  A

Draft Review: Denver Broncos


Denver Broncos

1st Round, Pick #28:  Sylvester Williams DT North Carolina
This was one of the best values of round one.  Denver's run defense was patched together last year with retreads, and they needed to infuse some talent.  They signed Terrence Knighton to play the NT spot and now have a new starting 3 technique defensive tackle.  Williams is a stout defender who can play the run and has the speed and quickness to be a disrupter.  Williams also fits in extremely well because on passing downs they'll be able to slide Williams down to the NT spot when they move Derek Wolfe from DE to the 3 technique spot.  Need meets value
Pick Grade:  A

2nd Round, Pick #58:  Monte Ball RB Wisconsin
It was only a matter of time before the Broncos went after a new running back to be their starter.  However you have to wonder if they made a mistake here.  Ball is talented and proven (1,830 yards and 22 TDs last year), but he has a TON of mileage (983 touches if four years).    Either the Broncos found their next back or they got somebody who will be out of the league in a couple of years.  Also throw in that Ball isn't very explosive athlete and you wonder how much more punishment he will take.  Not saying this is a bad pick, but you would have liked to see this in the third or fourth rounds.
Pick Grade:  D

3rd Round, Pick #90:  Kayvon Webster CB South Florida
Champ Bailey can't play forever can he?  The Broncos take Kayvon Webster here who not only is fluid in and out of his cuts but is one of the top run defenders at the cornerback position.  He can play outside or move inside and take advantage of his quick feet.  This should help him get on the field quicker.
Pick Grade:  B

5th Round, Pick #146:  Quanterus Smith DE Western Kentucky
So because of a fax/communications error the Broncos lost Elvis Dummervil and now have a huge hole at defensive end.  Shaun Phillips was signed and him and Robert Ayers (remember him?) will get the first look.  However they also went out and brought in the talented but questionable Quanterus Smith.  Smith is a flat out rush the passer as he showed with three sacks against Alabama, but isn't always consistent.  They'll bring him along as a situational player but their hoping he can be the full time player that Dummervil was.
Pick Grade: A

5th Round, Pick #161:  Tavarres King WR Georgia
Peyton Manning has had all sorts of luck with late round or unknown receivers and King might just be another success story.  King has elite speed and excels in deep routes.  With the exception of Demaryius Thomas, the Broncos dont' have anybody to take the top off.  Adding King's speed to the unit along with Thomas could do wonders to open up the field for Welker and Decker.
Pick Grade: A

6th Round, Pick #173:  Vinston Painter OT Virginia Tech
Armed with good size and length and surprising mobility for his size Vinston Painter is a prototypical  zone blocking tackle that the Broncos have had success with in the past.  Unfortunately Painter comes to Denver without much production at the college level.  If Alex Gibbs and the coaching staff can develop him he could turn out to be a great steal.
Pick Grade:  B+

7th Round, Pick #234:  Zac Dysert QB Miami (OH)
Knowing that Peyton Manning probably only has a couple of years left, the Broncos add another promising quarterback who could become the next starter.  Sure Brock Oseweiler is more than likely the future, but Dysert has the arm that NFL teams love.  Having him learn behind Manning could only improve his decision making and preparation skills.
Pick Grade:  A

Overal  Grade:  B

Sunday, May 5, 2013

Draft Review: Houston Texans


Houston Texans

1st Round, Pick #27:  DeAndre Hopkins WR Clemson
Houston has long suffered on offense with only one viable receiving threat in Andre Johnson.  He was still able to make an impact, but the offense just couldn't get over the hump.  They needed to add another receiving threat and pulled the trigger here.  They ended up taking DeAndre Hopkins who is going to complement Johnson well.  Hopkins is a good route runner and does most of his work in the short and intermediate routes.  He has elite hands and catches everything in site.  He'll pay immediate dividends for Matt Schaub.
Pick Grade:  A

2nd Round, Pick #57:  DJ Swearinger S South Carolina
With Gover Quinn signing with the Lions, the Texans needed a replacement.  They found an upgrade with Ed Reed, but as we all know Reed is always a season away from retiring and finding future replacement is a must.  Selecting Swearinger was a great selection for the Texans because he fits what they like in their safeties.  Because Houston likes to blitz a lot they ask their safeties to match up a lot in man coverage.  Swearinger is good in coverage and his instincts are top notch.  Swearinger could challenge Daniel Manning at Strong Safety before taking over for Reed when he retires.
Pick Grade:  A

3rd Round, Pick #89:  Brandon Williams OT North Carolina
The play of RT Derek Newton really made the Texans want to go out and bring in some competition   Here in the third round they found a perfect fit for their zone blocking scheme.  Brandon Williams skill set is exactly what the Texans want in their run game.  He has good athletic ability and is powerful run blocker.  He'll give Newton a run for his money and don't be surprised if Williams will be starting.
Pick Grade:  A+

3rd Round, Pick #95:  Sam Montgomery DE LSU
Montgomery was once considered a first round talent, so to get him in the end of the third round is quite the steal.  Montgomery is a stout run defender and has raw pass rushing talent.  He'll look to win the spot opposite of Brooks Reed against Whitney Mercilus.  Worst case situation is that since he's good in the run game he could see work on early downs before giving room for Mercilus in passing situations.  Not too bad with the 95th pick.
Pick Grade:  A

4th Round, Pick #124:  Trevardo Williams OLB UConn
After taking Montgomery the pick their previous pick the Texans continue to add more depth to the rush linebacker spot.  Unlike Montgomery, Williams is pretty limited to being just a pass rusher.  But he'll give Houston yet another player who could come in and apply pressure.  And as we've seen with them there is always somebody getting hurt.
Pick Grade:  B+

6th Round, Pick #176:  David Quessenberry OT San Jose State
After a standout performance at the Senior Bowl, Quessenberry was considered a Day 2 pick.  So getting him in the sixth round already makes this a good pick.  However add in that Quessenberry moves well and can play multiple positions and he's even a better selection.  Quessenberry could easily provide depth at guard and could eventually become a starter on the right side.
Pick Grade:  A

6th Round, Pick #195:  Alan Bonner WR Jacksonville State
In a continual need to add more receivers Houston took a chance on Bonner.  Bonner isn't going to provide much of a playmaking threat, but he does run good routes and will be able to work the short to intermediate routes.  With Kevin Walter gone the Texans need more bodies and hope that Bonner can develop into a solid possession receiver
Pick Grade:  C

6th Round, Pick #198:  Christopher Jones DT Bowling Green
I'm not too sure about this pick.  First Jones lack of athletic and size doesn't translate well to the NFL.  He is short and lacks bulk.  He's best skill is his toughness and non stop motor.  However I also wonder where is he going to fit in the Texans defense?  He isn't a 5 technique and lacks the bulk for the nose tackle spot.  He isn't a great pass rusher, so there goes a situational rusher.  I just don't get this pick.
Pick Grade:  F

6th Round, Pick #201:  Ryan Griffin TE UConn
After knocking about every pick out of the park the Texans really failed to finish off the class well.  Taking Griffin here is another head scratcher.  He has the ability to be a solid possession tight end, but he doesn't offer play making ability nor is he known for being a good inline blocker.  If they wanted a good blocking tight end they could have taken Michael Williams.  If they wanted another receiving threat they could have taken Joseph Fauria who could have really offered a red zone threat threat the team lacks.  Failed pick here.
Pick Grade:  F

Overall Grade:  A-

Draft Review: New York Giants



1st Round, Pick #19:  Justin Pugh OT Syracuse
For a team that normal goes best player available and sticks to their board, this pick is surprising.  Pugh was getting a lot of attention, but he isn't worth a first round pick.  Pugh has good fundamentals, quickness, and footwork.  But his lack of strength and bulk really cost him a lot.  Pugh doesn't have the length to play tackle and doesn't have the strength to move inside to guard.  He can't anchor in against a good bull rush against defensive ends, so why would he be able to do that against NFL defensive tackles?  Horrible pick!
Pick Grade:  F

2nd Round, Pick #49:  Jonathan Hankins DT Ohio State
What a great value the Giants got with this pick.  Hankins was a fringe first round pick and to get him in the late second is nice.  Hankins fits the Giants very well because he has some versatility to his game.  He can play both defensive tackle spots which helps him see the field more and help when they move lineman around.  Hankins has good quickness and agility for his size, but still needs to improve his pass rushing skills.  He'll likely see the field on early downs where he can clog up the middle and help their run defense.
Pick Grade:  A

3rd Round, Pick #81:  Damontre Moore DE Texas A&M
Do you remember when Damontre Moore was once widely considered as the #2 overall pick for the Jaguars?  Well a poor combine and some off the field concerns really sent him falling on draft day.  However the Giants got a complete steal here.  Watch Moore on film and you'll see a dominant pass rusher that was unstoppable in SEC play.  The Giants have a strong locker room and should be able to keep him in check.  Moore will help fill Osi Umenyiora's role as a pass rusher until he develops enough to be a full time starter.  The talent is definetly worth the gamble here in the third round.
Pick Grade:  A+

4th Round, Pick #110:  Ryan Nassib QB Syracuse
I've never been a big fan of Ryan Nassib and the talk that he was going to go in the first or early second round was just ludacris to me.  He is a smart QB but doesn't have that good of an arm to be a good NFL starter.  Probably just a backup.  However Nassib didn't go that high and was taken here in the fourth round to be Eli Manning's backup.  This will allow Nassib to sit back learn and develop and become a better QB.  The Giants really don't have much for help if Eli goes down, so taking Nassib here will help them out.  Nassib falling here probably helps prevent him from becoming a flop.
Pick Grade:  B+

5th Round, Pick #152:  Cooper Taylor S Richmond
After the past two three picks were good, the Giants went right back to the questionable route.  Taylor is a big (6'4 230) safety who really isn't that great of an athlete.  He isn't fluid and doesn't have great speed.  That hurts him at safety and then add in that he doesn't have the size to play linebacker.  The Giants will probably look to have Taylor help out at safety when they go into their nickel package where like to bring Antrell Rolle down as a nickel back.  But I really wonder how well he'll be in that role.  But you would think they could have taken somebody else here and gotten Baccari Rambo or Robert Lester in the sixth or seventh rounds and had a better player.
Pick Grade:  D

7th Round, Pick #225:  Eric Herman G Ohio
Even though the Giants and Eli throw the ball a lot, they are still a run oriented team.  Because of that they still want offensive lineman that are better run blockers, especially guards.  So here in the seventh round they are looking for player who have potential to develop into a quality backup or an eventual starter.  Herman was a four year starter at Ohio who is a nasty blocker that is always going through the whistle.  Herman will have to battle for a spot on the roster, but he fits with what they want to do.
Pick Grade:  C

7th Round, Pick #253:  Michael Cox RB UMass
In the seventh round a lot of teams are normally taking flyers on potentinal guys and hoping that they turn out to be contributers.  Michael Cox barely played at Michigan and then transfered to UMass after graduation to take advantage of the graduate transfer rules.  Because of this he doesn't have a lot of experience or game film.  However he does have the size and average speed needed to play in the league.  However Cox is going to have an upward climb to make the team with the Giants already having a stable of backs they trust.  I would have liked to see them use this on a tight end like Joseph Fauria or even Onterio McCalebb if they were going to take a RB.
Pick Grade:  D

Overall Grade:  C

2014 NFL Draft: Mock Draft

1.  Oakland Raiders:  Jadeveon Clowney DE South Carolina
Unless a team needs a quarterback it will be a shock if Clowney doesn't go #1.  He is the best defensive pass rusher to come out in a long time.  He can play in any scheme and should make an immediate impact.  Oakland needs impact players on both sides of the ball.  Clowney will play opposite of Lamar Houston and give the Raiders two top flight ends.  Oakland could go with a QB here, but Clowney could be too much to pass up and Flynn should get a shot.

2.  Jacksonville Jaguars:  Johnny Manziel QB Texas A&M
They drafted #2 in 2013 and I don't see why they won't again.  Taking an OT when you already have one is a dumb move and a lack of not addressing the QB position will get them nowhere.  They have to hope that the 2014 QB class is much better than 2013. Quite easily the top QB might be the reigning Heisman Trophy Winner.  Manziel has a lot of Brett Farve in him and is a much better passer than people think.  He'll bring a lot of play making ability and he fits right into the current trend of QBs that can move.

3.  New York Jets:  Marqise Lee WR USC
The big talk about the Jets 2013 NFL Draft was about adding Geno Smith, but their lack of effort to add weapons to the offense is a real question mark.  Santonio Holmes is nice, but he's a #2 WR.  No matter who is their QB is starting they need weapons to be successful.  Well taking Lee won't give them that problem any longer.  Lee has good size and play making ability you want out of your #1 receiver.  Pair him up with Holmes and Jeremey Kerley in the slot and that really does wonders for a poor passing attack.

4.  Cleveland Browns:  Tajh Boyd QB Clemson
It was no secret that the Browns new coaching staff and front office wanted to upgrade from the Brandon Weeden experience.  Unfortunately there wasn't anything to take in the 2013 draft.  Pick in the top five again will give them a shot to get a future signal caller.  Tajh Boyd really broke out last year at the end of the season and another good season and he could be making a run at the top QB in the draft.  Boyd also should be appealing to head coach Rob Chudzinski who coached a similar skilled QB in Cam Newton in Carolina.

5.  Tennessee Titans:  Teddy Bridgewater QB Louisville
If the Titans are picking in the top five that means that Jake Locker has continued to struggle and they need to move on.  Locker was never worth the 8th pick and now the Titans would be looking for another franchise quarterback.  Bridgwater could easily be the first QB taken, but the Titans won't complain getting him here.  Bridgewater is highly accurate and with the weapons the Titans have accumulated, they could be a good QB away from playoff contention.

6.  Kansas City Chiefs:  Sammy Watkins WR Clemson
Kansas City really did a lot of good things this past off season and in the draft, but they still lack some sizzle on offense.  Dwayne Bowe is a good receiver and Jonathan Baldwin might develop into a good deep threat, but they lack a real true playmaker.  That's what Sammy Watkins could bring to them.  Watkins can give Andy Reid that DeSean Jackson type of athlete that can make something out of nothing.

7.  Arizona Cardinals:  Taylor Lewan OT Michigan
They didn't get a chance to draft a LT in the 2013 which is a big need in Bruce Arians vertical passing offense.  Add in that Carson Palmer isn't very mobile, they need somebody to be the blind side protector.  If Taylor Lewan would have came out in the 2013 Draft he probably would have been at least the third tackle taken.  Now he's likely the top tackle but falls here because the QBs in this class are so good.  Either way the Cards would love to have him.

8.  Detroit Lions:  Jake Matthews OT Texas A&M
It was no secret that the Lions were hoping that Eric Fisher or Luke Joeckel would have fallen to them at #5.  With Jeff Backus retired they had a huge hole on the left side.  Now without getting one of them and not taking any other player, they'll have to hope that Riley Reiff can man the spot.  However Reiff is probably better suited to play RT or guard.  Luckily for them they can address the position here.  Despite playing RT his entire career so far, Matthews was considered a top 15 pick this past year.  He is a good athlete and has the frame to be a good LT.  He'll get his shot this year and a strong year could vault him to the #1 OT spot.

9.  Buffalo Bills:  Cyrus Kouandjio OT Alabama
Despite losing their best offensive lineman in Andy Levitre to free agency, the Bills did nothing to replace him.  Sure they feel pretty optimistic about who they have on their roster, but he's void will be missed.  What they could do is look to grab one of the top tackles in this class and move Cordy Glenn inside to guard.  Glenn has played well at LT, but he could be even better as a guard.  Cyrus Kouandjio emerged for the Crimson Tide which allowed Barrett Jones to move inside to center. 

10.  Carolina Panthers: Bradley Roby CB Ohio State
The strength of this class may be at the cornerback position where several players have the ability to go in the first round.  The best in the class may be Roby who uses his elite speed to shadow receivers and has the knack for breaking up passes (lead the nation).  Carolina could really use a corner and was rumored to be interested in taking one last year in the first round until Star Lotulelei fell to them.  The need is still there with and should be a focus heading into the 2014 off season.

11.  Dallas Cowboys:  Stephon Tuitt DT Notre Dame
With Dallas moving from the 3-4 to the Tampa 2 the biggest change they need is a 3 technique disruptor of a defensive tackle.  If the Cowboys would have stayed put at #18 they could have at Sylvester Williams or Sharrif Floyd, but moving back there wasn't anybody left.  But for the defense to be successful, they need somebody.  That somebody just might be Tuitt.  Manti Te'o got a lot of the attention at Notre Dame, but that was because teams were so focused on the talented Tuitt.  He has great size and strength but his best quality is his quickness.  He's the ideal disruptor needed. 

12.  Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  Anthony Johnson DT LSU
If Tampa would have kept their first round pick one area they were thinking of addressing was the defensive tackle spot.  The Bucs lost Roy Miller in free agency and he was a good run stuffer next to Gerald McCoy.  For McCoy to be successful, they needed somebody next to him that was going to command some attention.  Johnson did a great job filling in for Michael Brockers and would be a great fit as a 4-3 NT. 

13.  Philadelphia Eagles:  Anthony Barr OLB UCLA
It's been a complete overhaul of the Eagles this past off season under new coach Chip Kelly.  The offense will be going towards a more uptempo attack while the defense is switching to the 3-4.  Kelly wanted to draft Dion Jordan to provide a versatile pass rusher off the edge, but was unable to do so.  Without getting a player later on they may have to rely on taking somebody in 2014.  Anthony Barr is a former tight end who really took off after switching to rush linebacker.  He's still raw, but has the natural talent that will remind Kelly of Jordan.

14.  San Diego Chargers:  Antonio Richardson OT Tennessee
San Diego accomplished their goal of landing an offensive lineman early in the draft to help protect Phillip Rivers.  However DJ Fluker is a right tackle and that still leave the left side (most important side) still a concern.  Look for them to patch up the position this year and look to find a solution in the off season.  One way they could go is looking towards Tennessee.  Antonio Richardson is a talented tackle who was so good that the Vols moved Dallas Thomas (who played well at LT) inside to guard.  He has good size, but is a good athlete on top of it. 

15.  Miami Dolphins:  Austin Seferian-Jenkins TE Washington
It was no secret that the Dolphins were high on Tyler Eifert and if they would have stuck to their #12 pick that could have easily been the pick.  They do have Dustin Keller, but he isn't a top flight tight end.  Austin Seferian-Jenkins could do a lot of wonders for the Dolphins unique offensive attack.  Despite his large frame he is a gifted athlete and would provide a lot of mismatches in the passing game.  With a creative mind of Joe Philbin and the deep threat of Mike Wallace will really open up the middle for ASJ.

16.  Chicago Bears:  Jason Verett CB TCU
One of the bigger issues the Bears didn't address in the 2013 draft was adding youth to an aging cornerback position.  Charles Tillman, Tim Jennings, and Kelvn Hayden are all on the wrong side of 30 with nobody behind them set to challenge.  For the Bears new scheme they need corners who can match up man to man and lock down receivers.  Jason Verett has made an impact ever since he set foot on TCU's campus including leading the Big 12 in interceptions and passes defended. 

17.  Minnesota Vikings:  CJ Mosley LB Alabama
With two first round picks and then trading back into the first for a third pick everybody thought the Vikings would pick up that middle linebacker of the future in either Alec Olgetree or Manti Te'o.  But instead they passed and came out of the draft with no real answer at the position.  CJ Mosley decided to come back to Alabama and could have been a first round pick if he did so.  He has good athleticism and instincts.  He excels in coverage and would be a good fit as a 4-3 middle linebacker.

18.  St. Louis Rams:  Ha'Sean Clinton-Dix S Alabama
With both starting safeties from the 2012 season gone the Rams had to do something to address the unit.  TJ McDonald was taken in the third round to be their strong safety of the future.  Although they got McDonald they still lack that rangy free safety to complement McDonald's work in the run game.  Ha Ha (as Ha'Sean is known) has the speed and range which is needed to play free safety in the NFL and the quickness to match up to slot receivers if needed.

19.  Cincinnati Bengals:  Aaron Lynch DE South Florida
Lynch lead Notre Dame in sacks as a true freshman, but had to transfer to South Florida due to family reasons.  If he picks up where he left off he should become a hot commodity.  Cincinnati franchised Michael Johnson and he looks to finally be breaking out, however opposite of him Carlos Dunlap has seemed to regress.  Finding another pass rusher would help keep Johnson from facing a too many double teams.

20.  New Orleans Saints:  Kyle Van Noy OLB BYU
It was Ezekial Ansah who got most of the attention at BYU, but Kyle Van Noy had better sack numbers and is a more polished pass rusher.  He isn't going to wow you with is athletic ability or size but he is a technician and has a knack for getting to the QB.  With New Orleans moving towards a 3-4 they needed to add some pass rushers and the only ones they did were UDFAs.  After fixing the secondary look for them to make the rush linebacker a top priority.

21.  Indianapolis Colts:  Ifo Ekpre-Olomu CB Oregon
For Chuck Pagano's defense to be successful he needs good cover corners who have good speed and can match up well in man coverage.  They like to play the trail position with help from the safety.  A perfect fit for that would be Ekpre-Olomu from Oregon.  Ekpre-Olomu really broke out this past season leading the Pac 12 in pass breakups.  He is really becoming a name people are going to have to learn how to pronounce.

22.  New York Giants:  Loucheiz Purifoy CB Florida
The run of cornerbacks continues with the selection of Purifoy.  Purifoy is a two way player at Florida, but his best fit in the NFL is at corner.  Purifoy uses height size and length to be very active in pass defense and that is perfect for Perry Fewells Cover 2 scheme.  What is becoming a very strong position group allows the Giants to address a position of needs.  What was once a strength is now a concern.  Terrell Thomas is coming off injury, Prince Amukamara hasn't developed fast enough, and Corey Webster isn't getting any younger.  Adding another piece could really benefit the Giants.

23.  Green Bay Packers:  Adrian Hubbard OLB Alabama
Finding a comparable pass rusher to pair opposite of Clay Matthews has been a big concern for the Packers.  They drafted Nick Perry two years ago, but he has struggled to make the transition in the 3-4 and then was hurt.  Add in that Eric Walden left via free agency and there continues to be a big need.  They could do what a lot of teams have done lately and look towards the Alabama Crimson Tide and their 3-4 defense.  Adrian Hubbard isn't a complete player yet, but he has the size and athletic ability needed to play the rush linebacker and most importantly, the experience.  Something most players can't say they have.

24.  Pittsburgh Steelers:  Louis Nix NT Notre Dame
Very rarely do nose tackles go in the first round.  Mainly because they only play a couple of downs and there really isn't much value in a part time player.  But that won't apply here because Louis Nix isn't you average nose tackle.  Nix is a lot like Vince Wilfork in that he has rare agility for a 330 pound person and he uses it control the line of scrimmage and create havoc.  Pittsburgh desperately needs somebody to replace an aging Casey Hampton, and Nix might be the right guy to do it.

25.  St. Louis Rams (From Washington):  David Yankey G Stanford
Yankey started last year at left tackle when Jonathan Martin left.  He played well there, but his NFL position will likely be at guard or possibly right tackle.  St. Louis really helped out their offense this past off season by adding Jake Long at left tackle and drafting Barrett Jones.  Adding those two to go with center Chris Meyers and the line is much better.  However they still have a hole at the guard / right tackle spot.  Roger Saffold will fill one of them, but the other is up in the air.  This would be good for Yankey who could fill in at guard where Saffold could man the right tackle spot.

26.  Houston Texans:  Ryan Shazier LB Ohio State
Once Brian Cushing went down with an injury, the Texans defense was not the same.  Bradie James was exposed and they didn't have anybody that could plug up the middle and stop the run.  They were rumored to be looking at Kevin Minter, Alec Olgetree, and Manti Te'o but passed on those three and everybody else.  They need to replace James who is nearing the end of his career and a perfect player for that is Ryan Shazier.  Shazier is a tackling machine with great instincts.  Shazier also has the ability to play in coverage which will make Phillips defense which likes to blitz even more dangerous.

27.  Atlanta Falcons:  Tim Jernigan DT Florida State
With Atlanta struggling to get to the quarterback they spent the off season adding Osi Umenyiora and drafted Malliciah Goodman and Stansly Maponga.  However what they failed to do is address the defensive tackle spot and get somebody who could put pressure up the middle.  Jernigan is your prototypical 3 technique tackle who uses his quickness to penetrate and disrupt.  Adding him with what they did at defensive tackle will really help the team apply the pressure they need.

28.  Baltimore Ravens:  Brian Strock C Florida State
Matt Birk retiring took away one of the Raven's top offensive lineman.  The Ravens were unable to sign a free agent to replace him and passed on the top centers in the draft.  They'll have to rely on second year player Gino Gradkowski out of tiny Delaware.  Gradkowski wasn't thought too highly coming into the NFL and has a lot to prove.  The Ravens inactivity might signal that they are still high on him taking over.  But it probably has more to do with them not seeing a great value in anybody in the draft. 

29.  New England Patriots:  Jackson Jeffcoat DE Texas
Over the past few years the Patriots have spent a lot of draft picks looking to get younger and add more playmakers to the defense.  The secondary tends to be an area that is in the most need of help, but they show no tendency to draft defensive backs in the first round.  Instead Billicek likes to add lineman.  Looking to add more pass rushers to the defense it could be too tempting to pass on Jackson Jeffcoat.  Jeffcoat has a strong linage and is a relentless pass rusher.  The Patriots could really use a full time end in their 4-3 defense.

30.  San Francisco 49ers:  Brandon Coleman WR Rutgers
Everybody was praising the 49ers acquisition of Anquan Boldin and what impact he'll have on their offense.  However people are failing to realize that they lack a downfield threat that could really make this offense truly deadly.  A player that could really help them out in that area is Brandon Coleman.  Coleman has good size (6'5) and elite speed to take the top off the defense and take advantage of Kaepernick's strong arm.  Could you imagine what that could do for their already strong running game?

31.  Denver Broncos:  Aaron Colvin CB Oklahoma
You would think that one of these years Champ Bailey is either going to retire or slow down.  But he keeps going.  However the Broncos can't just wait for that to happen and could really do themselves a favor by finding an eventual replacement.  They added Domminque Rodgers-Cromartie but he has a lot to prove before we label him back.  Taking the versatile Colvin would allow him to play the nickel spot before eventually taking over at one of the two starting spots.

32.  Seattle Seahawks:  Christian Jones LB Florida State
With their recent off season, the Seahawks loaded up and don't have hardly any weaknesses.  However if there is one area that needs to be improved upon is the weakside linebacker.  Leroy Hill has started the past few years, however he wasn't brought back.  However even with him back, they needed an upgrade.  Christian Jones is that rangy linebacker that the Seahawks like to have in their 4-3 under defense.  Jones lead the Seminoles in tackles last year which is pretty impressive.

Sunday, April 28, 2013

Draft Review: Chicago Bears



1st Round, Pick #20:  Kyle Long G Oregon
On the surface this looks like a good pick because Long gives them an athletic lineman to plug in at the left guard spot and improve an offensive line that has been a huge issue for the Bears and Jay Cutler.  Long is a good athlete and has a good strength.  He'll fit in well with what the Bears want to do on the offensive line.  But Kyle Long wasn't worth the 20th pick in the draft.  Especially with Tyler Eifert and Sharrif Floyd still available.  Both of those players are more valuable and are bigger impact players.  Heck Floyd was a top 10 player.  It looks like they wanted to move down to get Long but couldn't find a trade partner and just reached on him instead.  It's one thing to get the player you want, but that's not a strategy you want to adopt.
Pick Grade:  B 

2nd Round, Pick #50:  Jonathan Bostic MLB Florida
The Bears are looking to find Brian Urlacher's replacement and are hoping that Bostic ends up being the right now.  DJ Williams will start the season as the starter, but Bostic could be the starter by the end of the year.  Bostic fits new defensive coordinator Mel Tucker's scheme because he has the size and speed to go side line to sideline and step up and make tackles.  This may have been a little early for him, but since the Bears didn't have a third round they probably felt that they needed to take him at #50 or they wouldn't get him.  So it's hard to fault them there.
Pick Grade:  B

4th Round, Pick 117:  Khaseem Greene OLB Rutgers
In what might be one of the best values in the draft the Bears got a real playmaker in Greene.  Many thought Greene was a lock as a second round pick.  But to take him in the fourth is a flat out steal.  It will be interesting to see where Greene plays.  His best fit is at the weakside linebacker spot, but Lance Briggs is one of the best in the NFL.  However the strongside spot isn't locked down.  Greene could find a spot there with his added ability to blitz which will come in handy on passing downs.  Either way the Bears found a talented player who could be a big part of their new defense.
Pick Grade:  A+

5th Round, Pick #163:  Jordan Mills OT Louisiana Tech
In their continued effort to rebuild the offensive line, the Bears found another good value in the fifth round.  Mills played left tackle at La Tech but he doesn't have the athletic ability to stay there.  However with Jermon Bushrod signed they don't need him there.  Mills will compete with J'Marcus Webb and Jonathan Scott for the right tackle spot.  Mills is a powerful blocker and should earn the backup job and could be the right tackle of the future if Webb doesn't continue to develop.
Pick Grade:  B+

6th Round, Pick #188:  Cornelius Washington OLB Georgia
This was a great move in two ways.  Not only did the Bears get yet another great value in taking Cornelius Washington, but their move back with the Falcons gave them a seventh round pick.  Washington made a name for himself with an impressive combine workout, but his pass rushing potential is what really impressed the Bears.  He doesn't have a great motor, but when it's on he's extremely tough to block.  Given his size he has the ability to develop into a weakside defensive end.  If Washington develops he could be the eventual replacement for Julius Peppers.  If not, it's only a 6th round pick they wasted.
Pick Grade:  A+

7th Round, Pick #236:  Marquess Wilson WR Washington State
Every year there is a player that has first or second round talent but slips to the final round or goes undrafted and turns out to be a big time starter.  Last year we saw it with Alfonzo Dennard and Vontaze Burfict.  Chicago is hoping they got that guy this year.  Wilson was considered one of the top receivers coming into this year but struggled in Mike Leach's new offense and then quit the team.  He has a ton of talent, but can he mentally put it together?  Who knows, but if the Bears can get Brandon Marshal sane, why not Wilson?
Pick Grade:  A+

Saturday, April 27, 2013

2013 NFL Draft: Matching the Quarterbacks

Normally quarterbacks in the NFL Draft are a valued commodity that often times gets over drafted.  We've seen Blaine Gabbert, Ryan Tannehill, Christian Ponder and Jake Locker are all players who should have gone in the second or third rounds but went in the first fifteen picks.  

But this year it's the exact opposite.  We thought we'd see Geno Smith and Ryan Nassib go early.  And then possible Matt Barkley and EJ Manuel getting taken in the late first with a teams moving up to get them.  However the fourth round is going to start today and we've only had three QBs taken (Mike Glennon was taken in the 3rd round by the Buccaneers).  

So what about the others?  Ryan Nassib, Matt Barkley, Tyler Bray, Tyler Wilson, and Landry Jones are still sitting out there.  Here is a look at some teams that would be a great fit with them!


Matt Barkley, USC
Perfect Fit:  Jacksonville Jaguars
If Barkley would have come out after his junior year he may have been the third overall pick.  Who knows, maybe he would have had a similar type of fall after more film study and critic.  None the less, Barkley is a highly intelligent quarterback that is able to go through his reads and find the open weapon.  He doesn't have a great arm but it isn't bad, plus he is accurate which helps his cause.  Add in that he is a good leader and a proven winner.  Barkley doesn't have Russell Wilson's athletic ability, but he could remind Gus Bradley of him. 

Ryan Nassib, Syracuse
Perfect Fit:  Kansas City Chiefs
I've never really understood why analysts loved Nassib so much.  He doesn't have a strong arm, lacks touch, and just makes some horrible throws.  But supposedly teams loved him in the classroom because he is highly intelligent and knows how to run an offense.  That leads a lot to a backup, not a starter.  None the less he still isn't void of talent and in the right fit he can still be very productive.  That team very well could be Kansas City where Andy Reid is a known QB developer.  Nassib is a great fit in a West Coast offense and could be that next Andy Reid success story.



Tyler Bray, Tennessee
Perfect Fit:  Pittsburgh Steelers
Bray is widely considered to be the most physically talented quarterback in this draft.  However he was widely inconsistent at Tennessee despite a ton of talent around him.  Add in some off the field issues and it's not wonder why Bray is still available.  However some off the field issues has never stopped any team from taking somebody in the final rounds of the Draft.  Pittsburgh was really high on Cordarrelle Paterson and in their workouts they reportively fell in love with Bray.  With Big Ben a constant presence on the injury report, a good backup is always needed.  Bray could be that guy.


Landry Jones, Oklahoma
Perfect Fit:  Chicago Bears
Another quarterback whose stock was pretty high but really fell of lately is Landry Jones.  He's been a four year starter, but really struggled when Ryan Broyles left Norman.  Jones has had to deal with a surprising lack of weapons and was still able to put Oklahoma into conference title contention.  He has raw talent and when he has good protection he can shred defenses.  But he really needs to improve when things aren't perfect.  Chicago who has long struggled to get a free agent backup for Cutler could go this route instead.  Add in that new head coach Marc Trestman is a noted QB guru and he'll want to get his hand on a developmental backup.


Matt Scott, Arizona
Perfect Fit:  Philadelphia Eagles
With Chip Kelly now running the Eagles everybody was waiting for them to target Geno Smith or EJ Manuel in the early rounds because of their mobility.  However as we saw they passed on both.  But don't be shocked to see them target somebody in the later rounds.  Matt Scott has long been that player linked to them.  Scott came to Arizona as a pocket passer, but thrived under Rich Rodriguez this past year.  He is still very raw, but has a strong arm and the mobility to run a little zone read and move within the pocket.  Don't be surprised if it's Scott who becomes the best QB in this class.