Tuesday, March 27, 2012

NFL Mock Draft

1. Indianapolis Colts: Andrew Luck QB Stanford
This is about as big of a guarantee that you can get in the draft. Don't listen to any rumor that RG3 could be challenging for this pick. It's not true.

2. Washington Redskins: Robert Griffin QB Baylor
Both the Redskins and Rams are winners here. St. Louis gets two additional 1st and a 2nd this year, while the Redskins get their franchise QB. Griffin fits what Shannahan wants out of his QBs and should see the field early.

3. Minnesota Vikings: Matt Kalil OT USC
The Vikings might be the team that benefits the most from the RG3 trade. LT is a huge need for them and now they can have Kalil fall to them. Kalil is the best LT prospect to come out since Jake Long.

4. Cleveland Browns: Morris Claiborne CB LSU
Cleveland is in a good spot here because they would have their choice of three prospects that could really help them. Look for them go with Claiborne though. Holmgren has a history of taking DBs in the 1st round. They already have Haden, but Claiborne would give them two shut down corners. The NFL is a passing league and CBs value is skyrocketing.

5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Trent Richardson RB Alabama
HC Greg Schiano comes from a Rutgers program where he liked to have a dominant run game. If that is the case they could get Richardson (along with LaGarrette Blount) to take some of the pressure off of Josh Freeman and their passing attack.

6. St. Louis Rams: Justin Blackmon WR Oklahoma State
If the Rams can land Blackmon here they would be estatic. Getting Sam Bradford a legit #1 is a must. I'm not understanding why some are hating on Blackmon. He has good speed, is strong, and has some of the best body control since Larry Fitzgerrald. This would be a slam dunk for them.

7. Jacksonville Jaguars: Melvin Ingram DE South Carolina
Jacksonville needs pass rushing help, but they are unlikely to add anybody in free agency. But they are in a good spot here to land their choice of the top ends. Coples is considered to be the top target, but Jacksonville management is rumored to be turned off by his inconsistent motor and could go with the equally impressive Ingram.

8. Miami Dolphins: Ryan Tannehill QB Texas A&M
Not a fan of Tannehill in the first round at all. He should be considered a 3rd round IMO. But we are in the age of overvaluing QBs. So he'll be a first round pick and because Miami lost on all the QBs during free agency they'll likely take him here. At least he'll be reunited with his former college coach Mike Sherman who is now the OC here.

9. Carolina Panthers: Dontari Poe DT Memphis
Even though Poe has the size most teams like out of 3-4 NTs, Poe's best fit will be in a 4-3 defense where his explosion will allow him to collapse the pocket. Carolina isn't very strong at DT and could really use a dominant tackle to go with their solid DEs.

10. Buffalo Bills: Riley Reiff OT Iowa
Buffalo normally telegraphs their picks, but with them signing Mario Williams and Mark Anderson their biggest need is filled. The focus should be towards the offensive line where they still haven't resigned Demetrius Bell. They have to protect Ryan Fitzpatrick and Reiff would be a great solution.

11. Kansas City Chiefs: Luke Kuechly LB Boston College
Kansas City has to hope that Dontari Poe falls to them here because NT is their biggest weakness on defense. But instead they'll have to go value and take Kuechly. Kuechly would be an excellent fit inside next to Derrick Johnson and give the Cheifs two stud ILBers. Just look at the 49ers with Patrick Willis and Navarro Bowman.

12. Seattle Seahawks: Quentin Coples DE North Carolina
Seattle was on of the teams that was very interested in Mario Williams. They need somebody to can provide a pass rushing pressence, especially at the RDE spot. Coples isn't Mario Williams, but he has the physical tools to be dominant. However his inconsistences could cause him to fall here.

13. Arizona Cardinals: David DeCastro G Stanford
It looks like the Cardinals will look at offensive line with this pick and have two Stanford players to choose from. They could go Martin because he has the potential to be a LT. But DeCastro is a much much better prospect and also fits a huge need at G.

14. Dallas Cowboys: Cordy Glenn G Georgia
Before last year the Cowboys hadn't taken an offensive lineman in the first round for years. But they took Tyron Smith last year and are looking at guards for this year. David Decastro would be the ideal target, but he is gone here. But the Cowboys are also big on Glenn who played LT in college, but should thrive moving inside to G.

15. Philadelphia Eagles: Michael Brockers DT LSU
Kuechly has been projected to the Eagles for a long time, but with the trade they made for DeMeco Ryans he is no longer a need. Plus he's gone at this point. The Eagles have been rumored to be looking at DTs here and Brockers makes sense. He has the size of a 4-3 NT, but the atheltic ability of some DEs. He should thrive in their Wide 9 defense.

16. New York Jets: Michael Floyd WR Notre Dame
The Jets thought that they had improved their receiving core by adding Derek Mason and Plaxico Burres instead of Braylon Edwards and Jericho Cotchery. Instead the position became a weakness and it made Mark Sanchez look worse. Burres likely won't be back, so they have to find somebody opposite of Santonio Holmes. Floyd would give them that big physical receiver who can go up and get the ball, something that Burres didn't do.

17. Cincinnati Bengals: Dre Kirkpatrick CB Alabama
After a strong pro day, Kirkpatrick could be going higher than here. However the Bengals would love to add the big physical corner. With the loss of Jonathan Joseph and then the injury to Leon Hall the Bengals are very thin at CB.

18. San Diego Chargers: Jonathan Martin OT Stanford
With the retirement of Chris Dielman the Chargers have a huge hole at guard. They'd love to get David DeCastro or Cordy Glenn, but they are both gone. Another solution might be Jonathan Martin. Martin played LT for Stanford but might be a RT in the NFL. San Diego could take him and put him at guard right away with the thought of him being their eventual LT when Gaither leaves.

19. Chicago Bears: Kendall Wright WR Baylor
I've scoffed at the notion of Kendall Wright to the Bears. However it makes a lot more sense now. They traded for Brandon Marshall, but they need sombody opposite of him. Johnny Knox was thought to be the guy, but it looks like he'll miss all of 2012. Wright would be an upgraded version of Knox and give the Bears a talented deep threat that Cutler hasn't had there.

20. Tennessee Titans: Fletcher Cox DT Mississippi State
They filled a big need at DE by signing Kameron Wimbley, but still have a hole at DT. Tennesse still hasn't filled the void that Albert Haynesworth left when he left a couple of years ago. Fletcher Cox is versitle DT who can rush the passer, play two gaps, and stop the run.

21. Cincinnati Bengals: Mark Barron S Alabama
The Bengals have two picks in Round 1 and can fill two huge holes in their secondary. Resigning Reggie Nelson was big for them because he locks down the FS spot. However the SS position is in flux. Barron is NFL ready and has the potential to be a playmaker. A combination of Nelson and Barron would give the Bengals one heck of a safety duo.

22. Cleveland Browns: Stephen Hill WR Georgia Tech
Justin Blackmon is a serious candidate for them at #4 and if they don't go there they could take somebody here. They could really use a deep threat to complement Greg Little. Hill has done a great job of showcasing his ability that we couldn't see while he was at Georgia Tech

23. Detroit Lions: Mike Adams OT Ohio State
Projecting who Detroit will take is always a gamble. They go Best Player Available, but here that isn't so clear because the top players play positions of strength or have big character issues. I have a feeling Adams could be their choice. He has LT potential and the Lions need offensive line help bad. Plus the value is there.

24. Pittsburgh Steelers: Dont'a Hightower LB Alabama
Dont'a Hightower is a very logical pick for the Steelers here. They recently cut long time starter James Farrior and could use some help at the ILB spot. Hightower is a down hill run stuffer who is a good blitzer. His exerience playing in Nick Saban's 3-4 should allow him an easy transition.

25. Denver Broncos: Jerel Worthy DT Michigan State
Lost in all of Tebowmania is that the Broncos defense was very good last year. They were able to keep the score down and allow Tebow to make the comebacks. But they still have holes that need to be addressed. Mainly DT where they lost starter Brodrick Bunkley. Jerel Worthy would be a good fit. He has massive size, but the quickness to be a 3 technique.

26. Houston Texans: Courtney Upshaw LB Alabama
I would be willing to bet that Courtney Upshaw goes higher than this. Reports that his stock has fallin, but he is a very talented pass rusher. However his only fit is in the 3-4 and with not many 3-4 teams in the middle of the draft he could slide. The Texans would love to see him here to help replace Mario Williams.

27. New England Patriots: Devon Still DT Penn State
Will this be the year the Pats actually take a 5 tech DE? Who knows with the Pats, but Still is a great fit here. Still would be a beast in a 3-4. He has everything you want. Size, strength, ability to play 2 gaps. Pluse he can also succeed in a 4-3 so he'll be fine when the Pats switch back and forth.

28. Green Bay Packers: Janoris Jenkins CB North Alabama
This seems like a crazy pick, but it makes sense. The Packers have some question marks about their secondary and are looking for improvement. Jenkins has top 10 type talent, but a ton of off the field problems. But the Packers are a verteran group and could keep Jenkins in line.

29. Baltimore Ravens: Peter Konz C Wisconsin
With Matt Birk nearing retirement the Ravens will be looking to find his eventual replacement. Konz is a big physical blocker who fits into the Ravens run oriented attack. Add in that Konz has the ability to play guard also and that only adds to his value.

30. San Francisco 49ers: Coby Fleener TE Stanford
We all know that Jim Harbuagh loves to use TEs. He has one of the best in Veron Davis and another in versitle Delanie Walker. However that won't stop him from adding more. Coby Fleener is a complete package. He blocks well and is a threat in the passing game. With Harbaugh using so many 2 TE sets he'll be able to utilize all of them.

31. New England Patriots: Alfonzo Dennard CB Nebraska
Dennard's stock has fallin since the end of the season. However he is still a good value in this category, especially to the right team. The Patriots would be one of those teams. They love to play a man/zone combo scheme and that really fits Dennard who is at his best when making plays in front of him.

32. New York Giants: David Wilson RB Virginia Tech
With the recent release of Brandon Jacobs the Giants will be looking for another back to pair up with Ahmad Bradshaw. Wilson is the 2nd best back in the draft and has the speed to break off the home run and the agility to make defenders miss.

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